Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM ET· Faurot Field· Missouri -3 · O/U 49.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 618 mi / 0 miForecast: 78°F · wind 9 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Missouri -3 · O/U 49.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Texas A&M as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 2-6-1 ATS (9 games) · 5-4 O/U (9 games)
Missouri as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 5-2 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 14-16 ATS (30 games) · 17-13 O/U (30 games)
2026 · TraditionalMissouri · 8 of 9
356.2
Yards / game
447.0
2.64
Points / drive
2.77
3.4
TDs / game
4.4
43.2
3rd-down %
43.9
69.6
RZ TD %
54.2
0.4
Turnover margin
0.8
1.0
Sacks / game
3.0
4.6
TFL / game
7.8
10.2
Havoc / game
17.2
44.3 / 55.7
Pass / Rush split
45.1 / 54.9
2026 · Situational matchup
When Texas A&M has the ball
Texas A&M's early-down offense ranks 123rd of 138. Missouri's early-down defense ranks 12th of 138.
Texas A&M's passing-down offense ranks 81st of 138. Missouri's passing-down defense ranks 58th of 138.
Texas A&M's third-down offense ranks 59th of 138. Missouri's third-down defense ranks 53rd of 138.
Texas A&M's red-zone offense ranks 62nd of 138. Missouri's red-zone defense ranks 85th of 138.
When Missouri has the ball
Missouri's early-down offense ranks 49th of 138. Texas A&M's early-down defense ranks 53rd of 138.
Missouri's passing-down offense ranks 22nd of 138. Texas A&M's passing-down defense ranks 29th of 138.
Missouri's third-down offense ranks 38th of 138. Texas A&M's third-down defense ranks 65th of 138.
Missouri's red-zone offense ranks 79th of 138. Texas A&M's red-zone defense ranks 75th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Texas A&M offense
123rdof 138-0.112212 plays
vs
Missouri defense · allowed
12thof 138-0.183Texas A&M defense · allowed
53rdof 138-0.068167 plays
vs
Missouri offense
49thof 1380.048221 plays
Passing downs
Texas A&M offense
81stof 138-0.004113 plays
vs
Missouri defense · allowed
58thof 138-0.060136 plays
Texas A&M defense · allowed
29thof 138-0.17796 plays
vs
Missouri offense
22ndof 1380.250115 plays
Third down
Texas A&M offense
59thof 1380.15374 plays
vs
Missouri defense · allowed
53rdof 138-0.07175 plays
Texas A&M defense · allowed
65thof 138-0.02554 plays · small sample
vs
Missouri offense
38thof 1380.23867 plays
Red zone
Texas A&M offense
62ndof 1380.07473 plays
vs
Missouri defense · allowed
85thof 1380.02431 plays · small sample
Texas A&M defense · allowed
75thof 138-0.00536 plays · small sample
vs
Missouri offense
79thof 138-0.00960 plays
Field advancement
Texas A&M offense
89thof 13845.6%vs
Missouri defense · allowed
28thof 13833.7%Texas A&M defense · allowed
39thof 13836.5%vs
Missouri offense
41stof 13854.6%Texas A&M Offense vs Missouri DefenseMissouri · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.04#60
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#150.26
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.039#95
280 plays
EPA/Play
#21-0.148
allowed · 278 plays
-0.151#114
131 plays
EPA/Pass
#52-0.105
allowed · 135 plays
0.060#58
149 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#15-0.188
allowed · 143 plays
48.6%#49
280 plays
Success Rate
#3841.4%
allowed · 278 plays
41.2%#104
Pass Success Rate
#4840.2%
allowed
55.0%#12
Rush Success Rate
#5344.7%
allowed
45.6%#89
Available Yards %
#2833.7%
allowed
66.4#16
Net Field Position
#775.9
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.112#123
212 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#12-0.183
allowed
7.0#73
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#78.5
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Texas A&M Defense vs Missouri OffenseMissouri · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.01#70
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#380.15
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.039#63
allowed · 213 plays
EPA/Play
#380.111
285 plays
0.069#97
allowed · 100 plays
EPA/Pass
#170.258
137 plays
-0.134#31
allowed · 113 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#95-0.026
148 plays
49.8%#125
allowed · 213 plays
Success Rate
#10444.2%
285 plays
44.3%#86
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#4148.9%
47.3%#81
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#13439.9%
36.5%#39
allowed
Available Yards %
#4154.6%
72.1#61
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#664.2
-0.068#53
allowed · 167 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#490.048
221 plays
6.5#115
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#967.4
2026 · Situational EPAMissouri · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.072
289 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.118
295 plays
-0.042
213 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.148
287 plays
0.074
73 plays
Red Zone · Off
-0.009
60 plays
-0.005
36 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.024
31 plays · small sample
0.153
74 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.238
67 plays
-0.025
54 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.071
75 plays