Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET· Bryant-Denny Stadium· Alabama -14 · O/U 50
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 546 mi / 0 miForecast: 73°F · wind 8 mph · Clear
Market context
Alabama -14 · O/U 50
opened Alabama -14.5, now Alabama -14 · total opened 50.5, now 50
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Texas A&M as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 2-7-1 ATS (10 games) · 5-5 O/U (10 games)
Alabama as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 5-2 O/U (7 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 6-1 ATS (7 games) · 2-5 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 32-13-1 ATS (46 games) · 22-24 O/U (46 games)
2026 · TraditionalAlabama · 9 of 9
356.9
Yards / game
416.6
2.46
Points / drive
3.38
3.1
TDs / game
4.4
41.7
3rd-down %
43.4
62.5
RZ TD %
82.8
0.1
Turnover margin
0.7
0.7
Sacks / game
2.6
4.6
TFL / game
5.1
9.3
Havoc / game
13.4
45.9 / 54.1
Pass / Rush split
44.2 / 55.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When Texas A&M has the ball
Texas A&M's early-down offense ranks 126th of 138. Alabama's early-down defense ranks 28th of 138.
Texas A&M's passing-down offense ranks 112th of 138. Alabama's passing-down defense ranks 51st of 138.
Texas A&M's third-down offense ranks 89th of 138. Alabama's third-down defense ranks 43rd of 138.
Texas A&M's red-zone offense ranks 102nd of 138. Alabama's red-zone defense ranks 120th of 138.
When Alabama has the ball
Alabama's early-down offense ranks 25th of 138. Texas A&M's early-down defense ranks 51st of 138.
Alabama's passing-down offense ranks 28th of 138. Texas A&M's passing-down defense ranks 27th of 138.
Alabama's third-down offense ranks 27th of 138. Texas A&M's third-down defense ranks 22nd of 138.
Alabama's red-zone offense ranks 4th of 138. Texas A&M's red-zone defense ranks 86th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Texas A&M offense
126thof 138-0.124281 plays
vs
Alabama defense · allowed
28thof 138-0.106270 plays
Texas A&M defense · allowed
51stof 138-0.051vs
Alabama offense
25thof 1380.120294 plays
Passing downs
Texas A&M offense
112thof 138-0.114157 plays
vs
Alabama defense · allowed
51stof 138-0.059162 plays
Texas A&M defense · allowed
27thof 138-0.134142 plays
vs
Alabama offense
28thof 1380.215130 plays
Third down
Texas A&M offense
89thof 1380.000102 plays
vs
Alabama defense · allowed
43rdof 138-0.08797 plays
Texas A&M defense · allowed
22ndof 138-0.18385 plays
vs
Alabama offense
27thof 1380.28583 plays
Red zone
Texas A&M offense
102ndof 138-0.095102 plays
vs
Alabama defense · allowed
120thof 1380.24255 plays · small sample
Texas A&M defense · allowed
86thof 1380.02738 plays · small sample
vs
Alabama offense
4thof 1380.37871 plays
Field advancement
Texas A&M offense
89thof 13845.6%vs
Alabama defense · allowed
37thof 13837.5%Texas A&M defense · allowed
26thof 13835.7%vs
Alabama offense
38thof 13853.9%Texas A&M Offense vs Alabama DefenseAlabama · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.01#76
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#230.24
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.076#111
376 plays
EPA/Play
#30-0.103
allowed · 357 plays
-0.213#126
183 plays
EPA/Pass
#51-0.071
allowed · 167 plays
0.054#58
193 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#24-0.131
allowed · 190 plays
48.1%#52
376 plays
Success Rate
#4543.1%
allowed · 357 plays
41.0%#109
Pass Success Rate
#7543.2%
allowed
54.9%#8
Rush Success Rate
#2041.4%
allowed
45.6%#89
Available Yards %
#3737.5%
allowed
66.9#9
Net Field Position
#1574.3
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.124#126
281 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#28-0.106
allowed · 270 plays
6.6#43
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#477.4
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Texas A&M Defense vs Alabama OffenseAlabama · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.10#44
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#60.44
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.063#41
allowed · 313 plays
EPA/Play
#180.159
371 plays
-0.128#33
allowed · 131 plays
EPA/Pass
#80.294
173 plays
-0.016#59
allowed · 182 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#610.041
198 plays
47.9%#105
allowed · 313 plays
Success Rate
#1153.4%
371 plays
41.3%#50
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#1053.2%
47.7%#86
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#1253.5%
35.7%#26
allowed
Available Yards %
#3853.9%
72.4#45
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#1167.0
-0.051#51
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#250.120
294 plays
6.4#120
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1077.5
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.100
377 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.130
378 plays
-0.066
311 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.036
387 plays
-0.095
102 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.378
71 plays
0.027
38 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.242
55 plays · small sample
0.000
102 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.285
83 plays
-0.182
85 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.087
97 plays