Sat, Oct 10, 7:30 PM ET· David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium· Virginia -8.5 · O/U 50.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 368 mi / 0 miForecast: 61°F · wind 3 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Virginia -8.5 · O/U 50.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Syracuse as road underdog
2026 overall: 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 5-1 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 12-15-1 ATS (28 games) · 16-11-1 O/U (28 games)
Virginia as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home favorite: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 1-4-1 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 14-11 ATS (25 games) · 8-16-1 O/U (25 games)
2026 · TraditionalSyracuse · 5 of 9
451.8
Yards / game
398.8
2.56
Points / drive
2.65
4.3
TDs / game
4.4
50.8
3rd-down %
33.8
56.5
RZ TD %
71.4
-0.3
Turnover margin
1.2
2.8
Sacks / game
2.4
6.5
TFL / game
5.6
14.8
Havoc / game
13.8
48.3 / 51.7
Pass / Rush split
40.3 / 59.7
2026 · Situational matchup
When Syracuse has the ball
Syracuse's early-down offense ranks 74th of 138. Virginia's early-down defense ranks 77th of 138.
Syracuse's passing-down offense ranks 68th of 138. Virginia's passing-down defense ranks 38th of 138.
Syracuse's third-down offense ranks 51st of 138. Virginia's third-down defense ranks 41st of 138.
Syracuse's red-zone offense ranks 127th of 138. Virginia's red-zone defense ranks 114th of 138.
When Virginia has the ball
Virginia's early-down offense ranks 42nd of 138. Syracuse's early-down defense ranks 108th of 138.
Virginia's passing-down offense ranks 96th of 138. Syracuse's passing-down defense ranks 17th of 138.
Virginia's third-down offense ranks 93rd of 138. Syracuse's third-down defense ranks 15th of 138.
Virginia's red-zone offense ranks 42nd of 138. Syracuse's red-zone defense ranks 96th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Syracuse offense
74thof 1380.001214 plays
vs
Virginia defense · allowed
77thof 138-0.022Syracuse defense · allowed
108thof 1380.048vs
Virginia offense
42ndof 1380.070195 plays
Passing downs
Syracuse offense
68thof 1380.025107 plays
vs
Virginia defense · allowed
38thof 138-0.128112 plays
Syracuse defense · allowed
17thof 138-0.218100 plays
vs
Virginia offense
96thof 138-0.066115 plays
Third down
Syracuse offense
51stof 1380.19061 plays
vs
Virginia defense · allowed
41stof 138-0.12671 plays
Syracuse defense · allowed
15thof 138-0.28249 plays · small sample
vs
Virginia offense
93rdof 138-0.03468 plays
Red zone
Syracuse offense
127thof 138-0.35463 plays
vs
Virginia defense · allowed
114thof 1380.22330 plays · small sample
Syracuse defense · allowed
96thof 1380.08231 plays · small sample
vs
Virginia offense
42ndof 1380.14858 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Syracuse offense
32ndof 13855.9%vs
Virginia defense · allowed
20thof 13831.9%Syracuse defense · allowed
55thof 13839.5%vs
Virginia offense
73rdof 13848.9%Syracuse Offense vs Virginia DefenseSyracuse · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.07#52
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#630.04
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.030#64
274 plays
EPA/Play
#830.004
allowed · 224 plays
0.003#65
137 plays
EPA/Pass
#34-0.137
allowed · 93 plays
0.057#62
137 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1150.103
allowed · 131 plays
46.4%#83
274 plays
Success Rate
#9947.3%
allowed · 224 plays
47.4%#56
Pass Success Rate
#1435.5%
allowed
45.3%#106
Rush Success Rate
#10850.0%
allowed
55.9%#32
Available Yards %
#2031.9%
allowed
67.3#26
Net Field Position
#2973.8
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.001#74
214 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#77-0.022
allowed
6.7#53
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#727.2
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Syracuse Defense vs Virginia OffenseVirginia · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.04#62
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#71-0.01
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.035#65
allowed · 213 plays
EPA/Play
#550.057
252 plays
-0.180#25
allowed · 105 plays
EPA/Pass
#190.239
105 plays
0.106#116
allowed · 108 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#109-0.073
147 plays
48.4%#111
allowed · 213 plays
Success Rate
#6247.6%
252 plays
42.1%#67
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#3449.5%
48.9%#97
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#9346.3%
39.5%#55
allowed
Available Yards %
#7348.9%
71.2#77
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#4068.7
0.048#108
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#420.070
195 plays
8.3#14
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#837.2
2026 · Situational EPASyracuse · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.041
281 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.068
270 plays
-0.039
225 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.005
230 plays
-0.354
63 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.148
58 plays · small sample
0.082
31 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.223
30 plays · small sample
0.190
61 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.034
68 plays
-0.282
49 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.126
71 plays