Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET· Carter-Finley Stadium· Syracuse -3 · O/U 54.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 519 mi / 0 miForecast: 50°F · wind 16 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Syracuse -3 · O/U 54.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Syracuse as road favorite
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 5-4 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): none in this role
Since 2020: 5-2 ATS (7 games) · 4-3 O/U (7 games)
NC State as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-6 ATS (9 games) · 5-4 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 10-5 ATS (15 games) · 7-8 O/U (15 games)
2026 · TraditionalSyracuse · 5 of 9
430.2
Yards / game
387.0
2.26
Points / drive
2.56
3.4
TDs / game
3.7
40.1
3rd-down %
48.5
50.0
RZ TD %
67.6
0.0
Turnover margin
-0.1
2.9
Sacks / game
1.4
6.7
TFL / game
3.9
14.3
Havoc / game
10.2
48.0 / 52.0
Pass / Rush split
47.5 / 52.5
2026 · Situational matchup
When Syracuse has the ball
Syracuse's early-down offense ranks 86th of 138. NC State's early-down defense ranks 119th of 138.
Syracuse's passing-down offense ranks 107th of 138. NC State's passing-down defense ranks 97th of 138.
Syracuse's third-down offense ranks 67th of 138. NC State's third-down defense ranks 61st of 138.
Syracuse's red-zone offense ranks 130th of 138. NC State's red-zone defense ranks 129th of 138.
When NC State has the ball
NC State's early-down offense ranks 81st of 138. Syracuse's early-down defense ranks 107th of 138.
NC State's passing-down offense ranks 52nd of 138. Syracuse's passing-down defense ranks 38th of 138.
NC State's third-down offense ranks 33rd of 138. Syracuse's third-down defense ranks 44th of 138.
NC State's red-zone offense ranks 59th of 138. Syracuse's red-zone defense ranks 93rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Syracuse offense
86thof 138-0.020498 plays
vs
NC State defense · allowed
119thof 1380.082Syracuse defense · allowed
107thof 1380.050vs
NC State offense
81stof 138-0.010392 plays
Passing downs
Syracuse offense
107thof 138-0.089234 plays
vs
NC State defense · allowed
97thof 1380.063196 plays
Syracuse defense · allowed
38thof 138-0.086213 plays
vs
NC State offense
52ndof 1380.069210 plays
Third down
Syracuse offense
67thof 1380.049143 plays
vs
NC State defense · allowed
61stof 1380.016117 plays
Syracuse defense · allowed
44thof 138-0.070116 plays
vs
NC State offense
33rdof 1380.202131 plays
Red zone
Syracuse offense
130thof 138-0.359126 plays
vs
NC State defense · allowed
129thof 1380.26771 plays
Syracuse defense · allowed
93rdof 1380.07167 plays
vs
NC State offense
59thof 1380.02981 plays
Field advancement
Syracuse offense
38thof 13851.9%vs
NC State defense · allowed
76thof 13844.9%Syracuse defense · allowed
60thof 13842.3%vs
NC State offense
74thof 13846.8%Syracuse Offense vs NC State DefenseSyracuse · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.05#61
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#115-0.22
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.003#76
659 plays
EPA/Play
#1200.096
allowed · 503 plays
-0.013#79
321 plays
EPA/Pass
#1150.111
allowed · 272 plays
0.006#73
338 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1020.077
allowed · 231 plays
45.5%#86
659 plays
Success Rate
#8346.5%
allowed · 503 plays
44.9%#63
Pass Success Rate
#9545.0%
allowed
46.2%#93
Rush Success Rate
#4845.6%
allowed
51.9%#38
Available Yards %
#7644.9%
allowed
69.5#47
Net Field Position
#5571.8
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.020#86
498 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#1190.082
allowed
7.1#78
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1266.3
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Syracuse Defense vs NC State OffenseNC State · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.04#63
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#590.06
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.022#87
allowed · 523 plays
EPA/Play
#460.056
510 plays
-0.031#69
allowed · 257 plays
EPA/Pass
#310.119
246 plays
0.073#101
allowed · 266 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#78-0.004
264 plays
45.5%#68
allowed · 523 plays
Success Rate
#3748.8%
510 plays
44.0%#84
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#2949.2%
45.0%#44
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#6648.5%
42.3%#60
allowed
Available Yards %
#7446.8%
71.6#57
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#12172.7
0.050#107
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#81-0.010
392 plays
7.7#27
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#576.8
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.002
666 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.070
515 plays
0.018
535 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.095
492 plays
-0.359
126 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.029
81 plays
0.071
67 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.267
71 plays
0.049
143 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.202
131 plays
-0.070
116 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.016
117 plays