Fourth Down Data
Syracuse2-4 · ACC@North Carolina4-2 · ACC
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Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET· Kenan Stadium· North Carolina -8.5 · O/U 46.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 516 mi / 0 miForecast: 54°F · wind 7 mph · Clear
Market context
North Carolina -8.5 · O/U 46.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Syracuse as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 5-1 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 13-15-1 ATS (29 games) · 17-11-1 O/U (29 games)
North Carolina as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 13-17 ATS (30 games) · 17-13 O/U (30 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalSyracuse · 7 of 9
449.8
Yards / game
329.8
2.37
Points / drive
2.08
3.8
TDs / game
2.8
43.3
3rd-down %
37.3
53.1
RZ TD %
65.0
-0.3
Turnover margin
-0.3
2.5
Sacks / game
2.2
7.3
TFL / game
4.0
14.8
Havoc / game
11.3
48.1 / 51.9
Pass / Rush split
47.2 / 52.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When Syracuse has the ball
Syracuse's early-down offense ranks 80th of 138. North Carolina's early-down defense ranks 60th of 138.
Syracuse's passing-down offense ranks 52nd of 138. North Carolina's passing-down defense ranks 46th of 138.
Syracuse's third-down offense ranks 37th of 138. North Carolina's third-down defense ranks 103rd of 138.
Syracuse's red-zone offense ranks 129th of 138. North Carolina's red-zone defense ranks 11th of 138.
When North Carolina has the ball
North Carolina's early-down offense ranks 87th of 138. Syracuse's early-down defense ranks 123rd of 138.
North Carolina's passing-down offense ranks 78th of 138. Syracuse's passing-down defense ranks 63rd of 138.
North Carolina's third-down offense ranks 110th of 138. Syracuse's third-down defense ranks 34th of 138.
North Carolina's red-zone offense ranks 39th of 138. Syracuse's red-zone defense ranks 127th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.071 last 3 vs 0.058 season)
▼Defense form0.157 last 3 vs -0.036 season (+0.193)
Offense formabout the same(-0.036 last 3 vs 0.010 season)
▼Defense form0.024 last 3 vs -0.053 season (+0.077)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingSteve Angeli — 731 yd, 4 TD
RushingTylik Hill — 431 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingUmari Hatcher — 784 yd, 7 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBilly Edwards Jr. — 1260 yd, 9 TD
RushingBenjamin Hall — 283 yd, 0 TD
ReceivingJordan Shipp — 441 yd, 1 TD