Sat, Oct 10, 12:45 PM ET· Ben Hill Griffin Stadium at Florida Field· Florida -14 · O/U 58.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 309 mi / 0 miForecast: 82°F · wind 10 mph · Rain, Partially cloudy
Market context
Florida -14 · O/U 58.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
South Carolina as road underdog
2026 overall: 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 13-13 ATS (26 games) · 14-12 O/U (26 games)
Florida as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 14-15-1 ATS (30 games) · 11-17-1 O/U (29 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalFlorida · 9 of 9
491.0
Yards / game
491.2
2.56
Points / drive
4.17
4.2
TDs / game
5.6
44.3
3rd-down %
45.8
65.0
RZ TD %
80.8
-1.2
Turnover margin
0.8
2.6
Sacks / game
2.8
5.6
TFL / game
6.6
11.4
Havoc / game
17.2
46.3 / 53.7
Pass / Rush split
41.4 / 58.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When South Carolina has the ball
South Carolina's early-down offense ranks 118th of 138. Florida's early-down defense ranks 94th of 138.
South Carolina's passing-down offense ranks 37th of 138. Florida's passing-down defense ranks 126th of 138.
South Carolina's third-down offense ranks 23rd of 138. Florida's third-down defense ranks 117th of 138.
South Carolina's red-zone offense ranks 47th of 138. Florida's red-zone defense ranks 107th of 138.
When Florida has the ball
Florida's early-down offense ranks 16th of 138. South Carolina's early-down defense ranks 123rd of 138.
Florida's passing-down offense ranks 50th of 138. South Carolina's passing-down defense ranks 115th of 138.
Florida's third-down offense ranks 46th of 138. South Carolina's third-down defense ranks 78th of 138.
Florida's red-zone offense ranks 39th of 138. South Carolina's red-zone defense ranks 88th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.152 last 3 vs 0.007 season (-0.158)
▼Defense form0.285 last 3 vs 0.069 season (+0.216)
▼Offense form0.123 last 3 vs 0.234 season (-0.111)
▼Defense form0.214 last 3 vs 0.077 season (+0.137)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingLaNorris Sellers — 1059 yd, 8 TD
RushingMatt Fuller — 433 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingMazeo Bennett, Jr. — 201 yd, 1 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAaron Philo — 1114 yd, 8 TD
RushingJadan Baugh — 613 yd, 11 TD
ReceivingDallas Wilson — 302 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
South Carolina offense
118thof 138-0.098206 plays
vs
Florida defense · allowed
94thof 1380.016South Carolina defense · allowed
123rdof 1380.104vs
Florida offense
16thof 1380.197206 plays
Passing downs
South Carolina offense
37thof 1380.171112 plays
vs
Florida defense · allowed
126thof 1380.241110 plays
South Carolina defense · allowed
115thof 1380.152111 plays
vs
Florida offense
50thof 1380.122107 plays
Third down
South Carolina offense
23rdof 1380.31968 plays
vs
Florida defense · allowed
117thof 1380.24777 plays
South Carolina defense · allowed
78thof 1380.02364 plays
vs
Florida offense
46thof 1380.21261 plays
Red zone
South Carolina offense
47thof 1380.13557 plays · small sample
vs
Florida defense · allowed
107thof 1380.12955 plays · small sample
South Carolina defense · allowed
88thof 1380.05524 plays · small sample
vs
Florida offense
39thof 1380.15264 plays
Field advancement
South Carolina offense
38thof 13855.0%vs
Florida defense · allowed
83rdof 13845.3%South Carolina defense · allowed
37thof 13836.3%vs
Florida offense
8thof 13863.0%Away
Home
South Carolina Offense vs Florida DefenseSouth Carolina · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.04#81
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#115-0.16
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.023#89
270 plays
EPA/Play
#1260.128
allowed · 262 plays
-0.164#115
134 plays
EPA/Pass
#1110.121
allowed · 151 plays
0.115#33
136 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1200.136
allowed · 111 plays
48.1%#55
270 plays
Success Rate
#11848.9%
allowed · 262 plays
42.5%#94
Pass Success Rate
#11847.4%
allowed
53.7%#21
Rush Success Rate
#6546.2%
allowed
55.0%#38
Available Yards %
#8345.3%
allowed
72.7#109
Net Field Position
#5172.7
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.098#118
206 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#940.016
allowed
6.7#57
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1226.2
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
South Carolina Defense vs Florida OffenseFlorida · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.14#112
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#40.48
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.098#120
allowed · 244 plays
EPA/Play
#100.231
259 plays
0.207#126
allowed · 128 plays
EPA/Pass
#130.284
102 plays
-0.023#64
allowed · 116 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#120.196
157 plays
45.5%#75
allowed · 244 plays
Success Rate
#756.0%
259 plays
43.3%#77
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#857.8%
41.8%#32
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#1354.8%
36.3%#37
allowed
Available Yards %
#863.0%
70.8#83
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#4568.9
0.104#123
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#160.197
206 plays
7.7#36
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1318.2
2026 · Situational EPASouth Carolina · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.014
296 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.234
265 plays
0.069
262 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.117
266 plays
0.135
57 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
0.152
64 plays
0.055
24 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.129
55 plays · small sample
0.319
68 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.212
61 plays
0.023
64 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.247
77 plays