Sat, Nov 14, 7:45 PM ET· Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium· South Carolina -7.5 · O/U 51.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 758 mi / 0 miForecast: 47°F · wind 8 mph · Clear
Market context
South Carolina -7.5 · O/U 51.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
South Carolina as road favorite
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 6-3 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): none in this role
Since 2020: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Arkansas as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 2-7 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 10-11-1 ATS (22 games) · 9-12 O/U (21 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalSouth Carolina · 8 of 9
452.6
Yards / game
337.9
2.69
Points / drive
1.70
4.1
TDs / game
2.1
46.4
3rd-down %
43.3
69.7
RZ TD %
53.1
-0.8
Turnover margin
-0.4
2.7
Sacks / game
1.2
5.8
TFL / game
4.2
12.6
Havoc / game
9.1
46.7 / 53.3
Pass / Rush split
49.3 / 50.7
2026 · Situational matchup
When South Carolina has the ball
South Carolina's early-down offense ranks 110th of 138. Arkansas's early-down defense ranks 42nd of 138.
South Carolina's passing-down offense ranks 21st of 138. Arkansas's passing-down defense ranks 39th of 138.
South Carolina's third-down offense ranks 4th of 138. Arkansas's third-down defense ranks 99th of 138.
South Carolina's red-zone offense ranks 23rd of 138. Arkansas's red-zone defense ranks 118th of 138.
When Arkansas has the ball
Arkansas's early-down offense ranks 129th of 138. South Carolina's early-down defense ranks 69th of 138.
Arkansas's passing-down offense ranks 119th of 138. South Carolina's passing-down defense ranks 104th of 138.
Arkansas's third-down offense ranks 40th of 138. South Carolina's third-down defense ranks 72nd of 138.
Arkansas's red-zone offense ranks 117th of 138. South Carolina's red-zone defense ranks 43rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.067 last 3 vs 0.055 season)
▲Defense form-0.117 last 3 vs -0.026 season (-0.091)
▲Offense form-0.070 last 3 vs -0.131 season (+0.062)
▲Defense form-0.057 last 3 vs 0.004 season (-0.061)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingLaNorris Sellers — 2100 yd, 17 TD
RushingLaNorris Sellers — 637 yd, 7 TD
ReceivingMazeo Bennett Jr. — 497 yd, 5 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKJ Jackson — 1853 yd, 8 TD
RushingCam Settles — 314 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingChris Marshall — 698 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
South Carolina offense
110thof 138-0.089401 plays
vs
Arkansas defense · allowed
42ndof 138-0.059South Carolina defense · allowed
69thof 138-0.018vs
Arkansas offense
129thof 138-0.148404 plays
Passing downs
South Carolina offense
21stof 1380.210214 plays
vs
Arkansas defense · allowed
39thof 138-0.085184 plays
South Carolina defense · allowed
104thof 1380.088208 plays
vs
Arkansas offense
119thof 138-0.138229 plays
Third down
South Carolina offense
4thof 1380.506123 plays
vs
Arkansas defense · allowed
99thof 1380.132113 plays
South Carolina defense · allowed
72ndof 1380.051129 plays
vs
Arkansas offense
40thof 1380.167135 plays
Red zone
South Carolina offense
23rdof 1380.19989 plays
vs
Arkansas defense · allowed
118thof 1380.17697 plays
South Carolina defense · allowed
43rdof 138-0.11671 plays
vs
Arkansas offense
117thof 138-0.19883 plays
Field advancement
South Carolina offense
33rdof 13852.7%vs
Arkansas defense · allowed
74thof 13844.5%South Carolina defense · allowed
45thof 13840.3%vs
Arkansas offense
109thof 13841.1%Away
Home
South Carolina Offense vs Arkansas DefenseSouth Carolina · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.19#29
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#104-0.16
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.046#52
524 plays
EPA/Play
#68-0.010
allowed · 478 plays
-0.002#74
256 plays
EPA/Pass
#31-0.135
allowed · 219 plays
0.092#37
268 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1090.096
allowed · 259 plays
46.6%#71
524 plays
Success Rate
#9147.1%
allowed · 478 plays
43.8%#75
Pass Success Rate
#5742.2%
allowed
49.3%#59
Rush Success Rate
#13452.8%
allowed
52.7%#33
Available Yards %
#7444.5%
allowed
72.1#105
Net Field Position
#10769.8
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.089#110
401 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#42-0.059
allowed
6.9#67
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#357.5
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
South Carolina Defense vs Arkansas OffenseSouth Carolina · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.07#55
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#113-0.23
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.017#65
allowed · 511 plays
EPA/Play
#119-0.100
531 plays
0.008#83
allowed · 249 plays
EPA/Pass
#101-0.113
248 plays
-0.040#53
allowed · 262 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#114-0.088
283 plays
44.2%#50
allowed · 511 plays
Success Rate
#7946.0%
531 plays
43.7%#82
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#5546.0%
44.8%#40
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#9445.9%
40.3%#45
allowed
Available Yards %
#10941.1%
72.2#44
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#10872.3
-0.018#69
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#129-0.148
404 plays
7.1#72
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1167.6
2026 · Situational EPASouth Carolina · 6 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.063
550 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.100
531 plays
-0.022
533 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.018
479 plays
0.199
89 plays
Red Zone · Off
-0.198
83 plays
-0.116
71 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.176
97 plays
0.506
123 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.167
135 plays
0.051
129 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.132
113 plays