Fourth Down Data
South Alabama3-2 · Sun Belt@Arkansas State2-3 · Sun Belt
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Thu, Oct 8, 7:30 PM ET· Centennial Bank Stadium· Arkansas State -1.5 · O/U 57
Rest 5d / 5dTravel 387 mi / 0 miForecast: 73°F · wind 6 mph · Clear
Market context
Arkansas State -1.5 · O/U 57
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
South Alabama as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 5-0 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 10-12 ATS (22 games) · 10-12 O/U (22 games)
Arkansas State as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 3-0 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 11-9 ATS (20 games) · 12-7 O/U (19 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalSouth Alabama · 8 of 9
451.0
Yards / game
348.4
3.16
Points / drive
2.02
4.2
TDs / game
2.6
46.7
3rd-down %
45.5
57.1
RZ TD %
57.1
1.2
Turnover margin
0.6
1.6
Sacks / game
0.6
4.0
TFL / game
3.6
10.8
Havoc / game
7.8
38.4 / 61.6
Pass / Rush split
46.5 / 53.5
2026 · Situational matchup
When South Alabama has the ball
South Alabama's early-down offense ranks 53rd of 138. Arkansas State's early-down defense ranks 80th of 138.
South Alabama's passing-down offense ranks 5th of 138. Arkansas State's passing-down defense ranks 74th of 138.
South Alabama's third-down offense ranks 17th of 138. Arkansas State's third-down defense ranks 98th of 138.
South Alabama's red-zone offense ranks 90th of 138. Arkansas State's red-zone defense ranks 130th of 138.
When Arkansas State has the ball
Arkansas State's early-down offense ranks 46th of 138. South Alabama's early-down defense ranks 135th of 138.
Arkansas State's passing-down offense ranks 102nd of 138. South Alabama's passing-down defense ranks 138th of 138.
Arkansas State's third-down offense ranks 89th of 138. South Alabama's third-down defense ranks 75th of 138.
Arkansas State's red-zone offense ranks 103rd of 138. South Alabama's red-zone defense ranks 121st of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.092 last 3 vs 0.090 season)
Defense formabout the same(0.127 last 3 vs 0.095 season)
▼Offense form-0.068 last 3 vs -0.017 season (-0.051)
▼Defense form0.055 last 3 vs -0.027 season (+0.082)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJared Hollins — 779 yd, 6 TD
RushingPJ Martin — 328 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingBrendan Jenkins — 319 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingTrey Owens — 1043 yd, 5 TD
RushingSolomon Baggett — 211 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingHunter Summers — 263 yd, 1 TD