Fourth Down Data
San Diego State2-3 · Pac-12@Oregon State3-2 · Pac-12
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Sat, Oct 10, 6:00 PM ET· Reser Stadium· Oregon State -15.5 · O/U 57.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 878 mi / 0 miForecast: 63°F · wind 11 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Oregon State -15.5 · O/U 57.5
opened Oregon State -14.5, now Oregon State -15.5 · total opened 55, now 57.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
San Diego State as road underdog
2026 overall: 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 8-12 ATS (20 games) · 8-11-1 O/U (20 games)
Oregon State as home favorite
2026 overall: 5-0 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 16-9 ATS (25 games) · 11-14 O/U (25 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalOregon State · 9 of 9
303.8
Yards / game
512.0
1.43
Points / drive
3.40
2.6
TDs / game
5.0
29.2
3rd-down %
43.1
66.7
RZ TD %
76.2
-0.2
Turnover margin
0.6
1.8
Sacks / game
3.0
4.6
TFL / game
5.0
11.6
Havoc / game
14.0
42.1 / 57.9
Pass / Rush split
60.3 / 39.7
2026 · Situational matchup
When San Diego State has the ball
San Diego State's early-down offense ranks 135th of 138. Oregon State's early-down defense ranks 61st of 138.
San Diego State's passing-down offense ranks 58th of 138. Oregon State's passing-down defense ranks 104th of 138.
San Diego State's third-down offense ranks 90th of 138. Oregon State's third-down defense ranks 94th of 138.
San Diego State's red-zone offense ranks 77th of 138. Oregon State's red-zone defense ranks 47th of 138.
When Oregon State has the ball
Oregon State's early-down offense ranks 15th of 138. San Diego State's early-down defense ranks 120th of 138.
Oregon State's passing-down offense ranks 45th of 138. San Diego State's passing-down defense ranks 103rd of 138.
Oregon State's third-down offense ranks 20th of 138. San Diego State's third-down defense ranks 46th of 138.
Oregon State's red-zone offense ranks 6th of 138. San Diego State's red-zone defense ranks 65th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.306 last 3 vs -0.199 season (-0.107)
Defense formabout the same(0.013 last 3 vs -0.001 season)
▲Offense form0.419 last 3 vs 0.257 season (+0.162)
▲Defense form-0.214 last 3 vs -0.090 season (-0.124)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJayden Denegal — 709 yd, 5 TD
RushingJavion Kinnard — 312 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingNathan Acevedo — 177 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBraden Atkinson — 1834 yd, 16 TD
RushingAJ Newberry — 271 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingJesse Legree — 741 yd, 9 TD