Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET· Canvas Stadium· Elevation 5,014 ft· San Diego State -1 · O/U 63.5
Rest 7d / 9dTravel 855 mi / 0 miForecast: 51°F · wind 9 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
San Diego State -1 · O/U 63.5
opened San Diego State -2.5, now San Diego State -1 · total opened 60.5, now 63.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
San Diego State as road favorite
2026 overall: 2-5 ATS (7 games) · 5-2 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 8-4-1 ATS (13 games) · 7-6 O/U (13 games)
Colorado State as home underdog
2026 overall: 2-3-1 ATS (6 games) · 6-0 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home underdog: 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 7-12 ATS (19 games) · 10-9 O/U (19 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalColorado State · 6 of 9
292.9
Yards / game
445.3
1.47
Points / drive
3.04
2.3
TDs / game
4.7
29.3
3rd-down %
43.7
60.9
RZ TD %
82.6
-0.3
Turnover margin
1.3
2.3
Sacks / game
1.2
5.0
TFL / game
4.0
12.0
Havoc / game
9.8
42.7 / 57.3
Pass / Rush split
55.6 / 44.4
2026 · Situational matchup
When San Diego State has the ball
San Diego State's early-down offense ranks 135th of 138. Colorado State's early-down defense ranks 138th of 138.
San Diego State's passing-down offense ranks 81st of 138. Colorado State's passing-down defense ranks 138th of 138.
San Diego State's third-down offense ranks 113th of 138. Colorado State's third-down defense ranks 133rd of 138.
San Diego State's red-zone offense ranks 75th of 138. Colorado State's red-zone defense ranks 113th of 138.
When Colorado State has the ball
Colorado State's early-down offense ranks 9th of 138. San Diego State's early-down defense ranks 120th of 138.
Colorado State's passing-down offense ranks 22nd of 138. San Diego State's passing-down defense ranks 111th of 138.
Colorado State's third-down offense ranks 20th of 138. San Diego State's third-down defense ranks 73rd of 138.
Colorado State's red-zone offense ranks 8th of 138. San Diego State's red-zone defense ranks 88th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.274 last 3 vs -0.226 season)
▼Defense form0.134 last 3 vs 0.060 season (+0.074)
▲Offense form0.307 last 3 vs 0.246 season (+0.061)
▼Defense form0.493 last 3 vs 0.360 season (+0.133)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJayden Denegal — 899 yd, 7 TD
RushingJavion Kinnard — 432 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingNathan Acevedo — 181 yd, 2 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingK'saan Farrar — 931 yd, 5 TD
RushingMel Brown — 431 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingRJ Vick — 367 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
San Diego State offense
135thof 138-0.194260 plays
vs
Colorado State defense · allowed
138thof 1380.335San Diego State defense · allowed
120thof 1380.076vs
Colorado State offense
9thof 1380.180223 plays
Passing downs
San Diego State offense
81stof 138-0.002157 plays
vs
Colorado State defense · allowed
138thof 1380.421100 plays
San Diego State defense · allowed
111thof 1380.152160 plays
vs
Colorado State offense
22ndof 1380.240132 plays
Third down
San Diego State offense
113thof 138-0.15392 plays
vs
Colorado State defense · allowed
133rdof 1380.37164 plays
San Diego State defense · allowed
73rdof 1380.027108 plays
vs
Colorado State offense
20thof 1380.34987 plays
Red zone
San Diego State offense
75thof 138-0.01355 plays · small sample
vs
Colorado State defense · allowed
113thof 1380.12872 plays
San Diego State defense · allowed
88thof 1380.02882 plays
vs
Colorado State offense
8thof 1380.31268 plays
Field advancement
San Diego State offense
133rdof 13835.4%vs
Colorado State defense · allowed
138thof 13860.9%San Diego State defense · allowed
110thof 13849.7%vs
Colorado State offense
51stof 13851.7%Away
Home
San Diego State Offense vs Colorado State DefenseSan Diego State · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.34#129
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#138-0.59
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.181#134
343 plays
EPA/Play
#1380.363
allowed · 304 plays
-0.341#135
142 plays
EPA/Pass
#1380.414
allowed · 124 plays
-0.067#110
201 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1380.328
allowed · 180 plays
41.1%#131
343 plays
Success Rate
#13859.5%
allowed · 304 plays
34.5%#133
Pass Success Rate
#13753.5%
allowed
45.8%#103
Rush Success Rate
#13858.3%
allowed
35.4%#133
Available Yards %
#13860.9%
allowed
70.0#61
Net Field Position
#9470.5
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.194#135
260 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#1380.335
allowed
6.7#60
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#946.8
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
San Diego State Defense vs Colorado State OffenseColorado State · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.10#98
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#360.17
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.045#98
allowed · 456 plays
EPA/Play
#20.253
299 plays
0.084#101
allowed · 202 plays
EPA/Pass
#260.162
165 plays
0.013#80
allowed · 254 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#10.364
134 plays
48.9%#115
allowed · 456 plays
Success Rate
#5447.8%
299 plays
49.6%#126
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#6346.1%
49.2%#107
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#4750.0%
49.7%#110
allowed
Available Yards %
#5151.7%
68.8#120
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#5069.4
0.076#120
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#90.180
223 plays
5.9#136
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#396.5
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.160
355 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.230
317 plays
0.040
462 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.355
316 plays
-0.013
55 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
0.312
68 plays
0.028
82 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.128
72 plays
-0.153
92 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.349
87 plays
0.027
108 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.371
64 plays