Fourth Down Data
Pittsburgh4-0 · ACC@Virginia Tech4-0 · ACC
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Fri, Oct 2, 7:00 PM ET· Lane Stadium/Worsham Field· Virginia Tech -3 · O/U 54.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 6d / 6dTravel 224 mi / 0 miForecast: 75°F · wind 5 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Virginia Tech -3 · O/U 54.5
opened Virginia Tech -4, now Virginia Tech -3 · total opened 52.5, now 54.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Pittsburgh as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 5-12 ATS (17 games) · 11-6 O/U (17 games)
Virginia Tech as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 15-12-1 ATS (28 games) · 17-11 O/U (28 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalVirginia Tech · 5 of 9
523.8
Yards / game
462.5
3.25
Points / drive
3.64
5.0
TDs / game
5.0
50.0
3rd-down %
45.0
61.1
RZ TD %
72.2
0.3
Turnover margin
-0.3
2.3
Sacks / game
4.3
6.8
TFL / game
11.3
12.8
Havoc / game
20.0
51.4 / 48.6
Pass / Rush split
48.4 / 51.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When Pittsburgh has the ball
Pittsburgh's early-down offense ranks 60th of 138. Virginia Tech's early-down defense ranks 60th of 138.
Pittsburgh's passing-down offense ranks 42nd of 138. Virginia Tech's passing-down defense ranks 39th of 138.
Pittsburgh's third-down offense ranks 50th of 138. Virginia Tech's third-down defense ranks 78th of 138.
Pittsburgh's red-zone offense ranks 54th of 138. Virginia Tech's red-zone defense ranks 112th of 138.
When Virginia Tech has the ball
Virginia Tech's early-down offense ranks 40th of 138. Pittsburgh's early-down defense ranks 21st of 138.
Virginia Tech's passing-down offense ranks 12th of 138. Pittsburgh's passing-down defense ranks 12th of 138.
Virginia Tech's third-down offense ranks 56th of 138. Pittsburgh's third-down defense ranks 39th of 138.
Virginia Tech's red-zone offense ranks 48th of 138. Pittsburgh's red-zone defense ranks 60th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form0.090 last 3 vs 0.149 season (-0.059)
▲Defense form-0.273 last 3 vs -0.176 season (-0.096)
▼Offense form0.094 last 3 vs 0.145 season (-0.051)
▼Defense form-0.196 last 3 vs -0.299 season (+0.103)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMason Heintschel — 1191 yd, 13 TD
RushingDamon Ferguson Jr. — 239 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingCataurus Hicks — 252 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingEthan Grunkemeyer — 1012 yd, 8 TD
RushingJeffrey Overton, Jr. — 409 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingLuke Reynolds — 280 yd, 4 TD