Fourth Down Data
Oregon State2-2 · Pac-12@Colorado State2-2 · Pac-12
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Sat, Oct 3, 6:00 PM ET· Canvas Stadium· Elevation 5,014 ft· Oregon State -6.5 · O/U 62
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 964 mi / 0 miForecast: 75°F · wind 12 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Oregon State -6.5 · O/U 62
opened Oregon State -4.5, now Oregon State -6.5 · total opened 61, now 62
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Oregon State as road favorite
2026 overall: 4-0 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): none in this role
Since 2020: 5-9 ATS (14 games) · 7-7 O/U (14 games)
Colorado State as home underdog
2026 overall: 2-1-1 ATS (4 games) · 4-0 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 7-11 ATS (18 games) · 9-9 O/U (18 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalColorado State · 6 of 9
458.3
Yards / game
469.0
2.85
Points / drive
3.20
4.3
TDs / game
5.0
36.0
3rd-down %
45.9
75.0
RZ TD %
81.3
0.8
Turnover margin
1.8
3.8
Sacks / game
1.5
5.5
TFL / game
5.3
15.0
Havoc / game
12.8
63.2 / 36.8
Pass / Rush split
56.6 / 43.4
2026 · Situational matchup
When Oregon State has the ball
Oregon State's early-down offense ranks 31st of 138. Colorado State's early-down defense ranks 138th of 138.
Oregon State's passing-down offense ranks 71st of 138. Colorado State's passing-down defense ranks 127th of 138.
Oregon State's third-down offense ranks 61st of 138. Colorado State's third-down defense ranks 105th of 138.
Oregon State's red-zone offense ranks 3rd of 138. Colorado State's red-zone defense ranks 90th of 138.
When Colorado State has the ball
Colorado State's early-down offense ranks 42nd of 138. Oregon State's early-down defense ranks 43rd of 138.
Colorado State's passing-down offense ranks 23rd of 138. Oregon State's passing-down defense ranks 94th of 138.
Colorado State's third-down offense ranks 16th of 138. Oregon State's third-down defense ranks 93rd of 138.
Colorado State's red-zone offense ranks 20th of 138. Oregon State's red-zone defense ranks 23rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.227 last 3 vs 0.185 season)
▲Defense form-0.183 last 3 vs -0.112 season (-0.070)
Offense formabout the same(0.215 last 3 vs 0.216 season)
▼Defense form0.419 last 3 vs 0.276 season (+0.142)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBraden Atkinson — 1421 yd, 11 TD
RushingAJ Newberry — 181 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingJesse Legree — 585 yd, 6 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingHauss Hejny — 619 yd, 10 TD
RushingMel Brown — 346 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingRJ Vick — 268 yd, 4 TD