Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET· Albertsons Stadium· Boise State -10.5 · O/U 66.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 358 mi / 0 miForecast: 58°F · wind 13 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Boise State -10.5 · O/U 66.5
opened Boise State -10, now Boise State -10.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Oregon State as road underdog
2026 overall: 6-3 ATS (9 games) · 7-2 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 0-4-1 ATS (5 games) · 0-5 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 7-10-1 ATS (18 games) · 8-10 O/U (18 games)
Boise State as home favorite
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 7-2 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 4-0 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 6-1 ATS (7 games) · 5-2 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 24-14-1 ATS (39 games) · 25-13-1 O/U (39 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalBoise State · 6 of 9
498.4
Yards / game
473.7
3.16
Points / drive
3.45
5.0
TDs / game
4.9
45.3
3rd-down %
53.4
70.5
RZ TD %
75.7
0.4
Turnover margin
0.3
2.1
Sacks / game
2.2
4.3
TFL / game
5.7
12.1
Havoc / game
12.4
59.4 / 40.6
Pass / Rush split
40.2 / 59.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When Oregon State has the ball
Oregon State's early-down offense ranks 10th of 138. Boise State's early-down defense ranks 115th of 138.
Oregon State's passing-down offense ranks 43rd of 138. Boise State's passing-down defense ranks 126th of 138.
Oregon State's third-down offense ranks 27th of 138. Boise State's third-down defense ranks 89th of 138.
Oregon State's red-zone offense ranks 22nd of 138. Boise State's red-zone defense ranks 39th of 138.
When Boise State has the ball
Boise State's early-down offense ranks 8th of 138. Oregon State's early-down defense ranks 98th of 138.
Boise State's passing-down offense ranks 1st of 138. Oregon State's passing-down defense ranks 115th of 138.
Boise State's third-down offense ranks 8th of 138. Oregon State's third-down defense ranks 70th of 138.
Boise State's red-zone offense ranks 19th of 138. Oregon State's red-zone defense ranks 99th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.002 last 3 vs 0.185 season (-0.187)
▼Defense form0.242 last 3 vs -0.027 season (+0.270)
▲Offense form0.357 last 3 vs 0.247 season (+0.110)
Defense formabout the same(0.028 last 3 vs 0.022 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBraden Atkinson — 3169 yd, 25 TD
RushingAJ Newberry — 506 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingJesse Legree — 1209 yd, 14 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMaddux Madsen — 1681 yd, 15 TD
RushingDylan Riley — 1241 yd, 11 TD
ReceivingRasean Jones — 670 yd, 5 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Oregon State offense
10thof 1380.153407 plays
vs
Boise State defense · allowed
115thof 1380.069Oregon State defense · allowed
98thof 1380.033vs
Boise State offense
8thof 1380.166477 plays
Passing downs
Oregon State offense
43rdof 1380.097207 plays
vs
Boise State defense · allowed
126thof 1380.223203 plays
Oregon State defense · allowed
115thof 1380.130195 plays
vs
Boise State offense
1stof 1380.388196 plays
Third down
Oregon State offense
27thof 1380.229117 plays
vs
Boise State defense · allowed
89thof 1380.109107 plays
Oregon State defense · allowed
70thof 1380.050126 plays
vs
Boise State offense
8thof 1380.408117 plays
Red zone
Oregon State offense
22ndof 1380.210111 plays
vs
Boise State defense · allowed
39thof 138-0.12675 plays
Oregon State defense · allowed
99thof 1380.10593 plays
vs
Boise State offense
19thof 1380.221109 plays
Field advancement
Oregon State offense
16thof 13858.0%vs
Boise State defense · allowed
110thof 13849.6%Oregon State defense · allowed
70thof 13843.8%vs
Boise State offense
13thof 13858.4%Away
Home
Oregon State Offense vs Boise State DefenseOregon State · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.31#18
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#730.01
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.164#16
515 plays
EPA/Play
#960.032
allowed · 479 plays
0.180#20
324 plays
EPA/Pass
#890.022
allowed · 261 plays
0.137#21
191 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#940.044
allowed · 218 plays
51.3%#20
515 plays
Success Rate
#2441.5%
allowed · 479 plays
48.1%#38
Pass Success Rate
#3239.9%
allowed
56.5%#4
Rush Success Rate
#7547.2%
allowed
58.0%#16
Available Yards %
#11049.6%
allowed
72.4#112
Net Field Position
#4972.1
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.153#10
407 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#1150.069
allowed
6.8#61
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#207.7
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Oregon State Defense vs Boise State OffenseBoise State · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.04#80
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#60.49
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.059#104
allowed · 467 plays
EPA/Play
#50.237
608 plays
0.008#84
allowed · 196 plays
EPA/Pass
#100.243
251 plays
0.096#108
allowed · 271 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#50.233
357 plays
47.8%#102
allowed · 467 plays
Success Rate
#1751.5%
608 plays
46.5%#109
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#2849.4%
47.2%#74
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#1652.9%
43.8%#70
allowed
Available Yards %
#1358.4%
70.5#89
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#13273.6
0.033#98
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#80.166
477 plays
6.7#107
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#55.7
2026 · Situational EPABoise State · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.157
520 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.241
602 plays
0.065
471 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.079
476 plays
0.210
111 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.221
109 plays
0.105
93 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.126
75 plays
0.229
117 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.408
117 plays
0.050
126 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.109
107 plays