Fourth Down Data
Old Dominion1-3 · Sun Belt@Georgia State3-1 · Sun Belt
Share →
Sat, Oct 3, 3:30 PM ET· Center Parc Stadium· Georgia State -2.5 · O/U 51.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 505 mi / 0 miForecast: 83°F · wind 5 mph · Rain, Partially cloudy
Market context
Georgia State -2.5 · O/U 51.5
opened Old Dominion -1.5, now Georgia State -2.5 · total opened 50.5, now 51.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Old Dominion as road underdog
2026 overall: 0-4 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 16-11 ATS (27 games) · 12-15 O/U (27 games)
Georgia State as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-0 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 11-13-1 ATS (25 games) · 11-13-1 O/U (25 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalGeorgia State · 5 of 9
287.5
Yards / game
468.3
1.42
Points / drive
3.00
2.3
TDs / game
4.5
34.0
3rd-down %
50.9
63.6
RZ TD %
73.7
-0.5
Turnover margin
-0.8
3.0
Sacks / game
3.0
8.3
TFL / game
6.3
15.3
Havoc / game
14.3
39.3 / 60.7
Pass / Rush split
45.0 / 55.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Old Dominion has the ball
Old Dominion's early-down offense ranks 136th of 138. Georgia State's early-down defense ranks 119th of 138.
Old Dominion's passing-down offense ranks 53rd of 138. Georgia State's passing-down defense ranks 30th of 138.
Old Dominion's third-down offense ranks 89th of 138. Georgia State's third-down defense ranks 10th of 138.
Old Dominion's red-zone offense ranks 57th of 138. Georgia State's red-zone defense ranks 26th of 138.
When Georgia State has the ball
Georgia State's early-down offense ranks 48th of 138. Old Dominion's early-down defense ranks 30th of 138.
Georgia State's passing-down offense ranks 5th of 138. Old Dominion's passing-down defense ranks 77th of 138.
Georgia State's third-down offense ranks 32nd of 138. Old Dominion's third-down defense ranks 61st of 138.
Georgia State's red-zone offense ranks 26th of 138. Old Dominion's red-zone defense ranks 52nd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.412 last 3 vs -0.348 season (-0.064)
▼Defense form-0.030 last 3 vs -0.093 season (+0.063)
▼Offense form0.054 last 3 vs 0.147 season (-0.093)
Defense formabout the same(-0.000 last 3 vs -0.043 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingQuinn Henicle — 424 yd, 3 TD
RushingQuinn Henicle — 224 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingTJ Johnson — 153 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCameran Brown — 873 yd, 6 TD
RushingLanear McCrary Jr. — 338 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingRodshaun Dorsey — 234 yd, 4 TD