Sat, Oct 17, 7:30 PM ET· TDECU Stadium· Houston -3.5 · O/U 58.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 454 mi / 0 miForecast: 72°F · wind 11 mph · Clear
Market context
Houston -3.5 · O/U 58.5
total opened 57.5, now 58.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Oklahoma State as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 11-12 ATS (23 games) · 12-11 O/U (23 games)
Houston as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 11-14-1 ATS (26 games) · 14-11-1 O/U (26 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalHouston · 7 of 9
521.4
Yards / game
481.8
2.87
Points / drive
3.64
4.2
TDs / game
5.3
33.9
3rd-down %
62.7
51.7
RZ TD %
71.4
-0.6
Turnover margin
0.7
1.8
Sacks / game
2.0
5.2
TFL / game
5.2
11.4
Havoc / game
13.8
47.3 / 52.7
Pass / Rush split
40.8 / 59.2
2026 · Situational matchup
When Oklahoma State has the ball
Oklahoma State's early-down offense ranks 4th of 138. Houston's early-down defense ranks 81st of 138.
Oklahoma State's passing-down offense ranks 59th of 138. Houston's passing-down defense ranks 61st of 138.
Oklahoma State's third-down offense ranks 133rd of 138. Houston's third-down defense ranks 92nd of 138.
Oklahoma State's red-zone offense ranks 122nd of 138. Houston's red-zone defense ranks 112th of 138.
When Houston has the ball
Houston's early-down offense ranks 26th of 138. Oklahoma State's early-down defense ranks 91st of 138.
Houston's passing-down offense ranks 5th of 138. Oklahoma State's passing-down defense ranks 18th of 138.
Houston's third-down offense ranks 1st of 138. Oklahoma State's third-down defense ranks 46th of 138.
Houston's red-zone offense ranks 65th of 138. Oklahoma State's red-zone defense ranks 74th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.368 last 3 vs 0.174 season (+0.194)
Defense formabout the same(-0.087 last 3 vs -0.098 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.273 last 3 vs 0.252 season)
▼Defense form-0.034 last 3 vs -0.101 season (+0.067)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDrew Mestemaker — 1575 yd, 13 TD
RushingCaleb Hawkins — 524 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingWyatt Young — 462 yd, 4 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingConner Weigman — 1428 yd, 15 TD
RushingRe’Shaun Sanford II — 404 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingPatrick Overmyer — 400 yd, 6 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Oklahoma State offense
4thof 1380.252266 plays
vs
Houston defense · allowed
81stof 138-0.001Oklahoma State defense · allowed
91stof 1380.012vs
Houston offense
26thof 1380.121302 plays
Passing downs
Oklahoma State offense
59thof 1380.078102 plays
vs
Houston defense · allowed
61stof 138-0.040129 plays
Oklahoma State defense · allowed
18thof 138-0.209114 plays
vs
Houston offense
5thof 1380.398112 plays
Third down
Oklahoma State offense
133rdof 138-0.34058 plays · small sample
vs
Houston defense · allowed
92ndof 1380.07378 plays
Oklahoma State defense · allowed
46thof 138-0.11671 plays
vs
Houston offense
1stof 1380.61475 plays
Red zone
Oklahoma State offense
122ndof 138-0.28069 plays
vs
Houston defense · allowed
112thof 1380.16842 plays · small sample
Oklahoma State defense · allowed
74thof 138-0.03641 plays · small sample
vs
Houston offense
65thof 1380.04394 plays
Field advancement
Oklahoma State offense
11thof 13861.5%vs
Houston defense · allowed
45thof 13838.5%Oklahoma State defense · allowed
48thof 13839.5%vs
Houston offense
1stof 13869.7%Away
Home
Oklahoma State Offense vs Houston DefenseOklahoma State · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.16#33
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#330.17
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.118#35
329 plays
EPA/Play
#78-0.002
allowed · 307 plays
0.131#33
164 plays
EPA/Pass
#970.077
allowed · 180 plays
0.106#40
165 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#31-0.114
allowed · 127 plays
53.5%#11
329 plays
Success Rate
#5344.3%
allowed · 307 plays
53.7%#15
Pass Success Rate
#11246.3%
allowed
53.3%#18
Rush Success Rate
#1740.6%
allowed
61.5%#11
Available Yards %
#4538.5%
allowed
70.9#77
Net Field Position
#376.7
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.252#4
266 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#81-0.001
allowed
6.5#38
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#517.5
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Oklahoma State Defense vs Houston OffenseHouston · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.06#53
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#50.49
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.047#51
allowed · 306 plays
EPA/Play
#110.220
378 plays
-0.024#73
allowed · 130 plays
EPA/Pass
#120.291
162 plays
-0.065#50
allowed · 176 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#180.167
216 plays
45.4%#69
allowed · 306 plays
Success Rate
#258.5%
378 plays
39.3%#38
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#359.3%
47.2%#75
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#357.9%
39.5%#48
allowed
Available Yards %
#169.7%
70.4#93
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#364.7
0.012#91
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#260.121
302 plays
6.7#101
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#25.3
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.101
333 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.227
387 plays
-0.075
301 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.025
316 plays
-0.280
69 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.043
94 plays
-0.036
41 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.168
42 plays · small sample
-0.340
58 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Off
0.614
75 plays
-0.116
71 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.073
78 plays