Fourth Down Data
#4Notre Dame6-1 · FBS IndependentsvsNavy2-4 · American Athletic
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Neutral siteSat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET· Gillette Stadium· Notre Dame -28.5 · O/U 53.5
Rest 14d / 7dTravel 769 mi / 349 miForecast: 57°F · wind 9 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Notre Dame -28.5 · O/U 53.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Notre Dame as road favorite
2026 overall: 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 5-2 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 3-0 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 19-10 ATS (29 games) · 20-9 O/U (29 games)
Navy as home underdog
2026 overall: 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 13-11 ATS (24 games) · 13-10-1 O/U (24 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalNotre Dame · 6 of 9
445.1
Yards / game
414.0
3.67
Points / drive
2.48
4.9
TDs / game
3.8
44.0
3rd-down %
43.5
66.7
RZ TD %
72.2
2.0
Turnover margin
-1.0
2.1
Sacks / game
2.3
5.1
TFL / game
6.0
12.9
Havoc / game
10.7
45.4 / 54.6
Pass / Rush split
19.4 / 80.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When Notre Dame has the ball
Notre Dame's early-down offense ranks 10th of 138. Navy's early-down defense ranks 111th of 138.
Notre Dame's passing-down offense ranks 42nd of 138. Navy's passing-down defense ranks 104th of 138.
Notre Dame's third-down offense ranks 93rd of 138. Navy's third-down defense ranks 117th of 138.
Notre Dame's red-zone offense ranks 77th of 138. Navy's red-zone defense ranks 95th of 138.
When Navy has the ball
Navy's early-down offense ranks 53rd of 138. Notre Dame's early-down defense ranks 4th of 138.
Navy's passing-down offense ranks 25th of 138. Notre Dame's passing-down defense ranks 16th of 138.
Navy's third-down offense ranks 12th of 138. Notre Dame's third-down defense ranks 35th of 138.
Navy's red-zone offense ranks 29th of 138. Notre Dame's red-zone defense ranks 104th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.181 last 3 vs 0.223 season)
▼Defense form-0.222 last 3 vs -0.345 season (+0.123)
Offense formabout the same(0.153 last 3 vs 0.121 season)
Defense formabout the same(0.074 last 3 vs 0.118 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCJ Carr — 1639 yd, 16 TD
RushingJonaz Walton — 426 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJordan Faison — 451 yd, 4 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJackson Gutierrez — 559 yd, 6 TD
RushingJackson Gutierrez — 644 yd, 9 TD
ReceivingJordan Collins — 189 yd, 3 TD