Fourth Down Data
Northwestern6-3 · Big Ten@#21Ohio State6-3 · Big Ten
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Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET· Ohio Stadium· Ohio State -11.5 · O/U 47.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 282 mi / 0 miForecast: 43°F · wind 13 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Ohio State -11.5 · O/U 47.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Northwestern as road underdog
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 5-3-1 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-2-1 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 12-14-1 ATS (27 games) · 14-13 O/U (27 games)
Ohio State as home favorite
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 5-4 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 5-0 O/U (5 games)
Last season (2025): 6-3 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
Since 2020: 26-22-1 ATS (49 games) · 26-20-3 O/U (49 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalOhio State · 6 of 9
421.2
Yards / game
467.9
2.87
Points / drive
2.99
3.6
TDs / game
4.4
42.7
3rd-down %
44.1
67.6
RZ TD %
65.9
1.3
Turnover margin
0.1
1.6
Sacks / game
1.2
4.3
TFL / game
5.2
12.4
Havoc / game
12.7
40.4 / 59.6
Pass / Rush split
47.5 / 52.5
2026 · Situational matchup
When Northwestern has the ball
Northwestern's early-down offense ranks 12th of 138. Ohio State's early-down defense ranks 31st of 138.
Northwestern's passing-down offense ranks 13th of 138. Ohio State's passing-down defense ranks 74th of 138.
Northwestern's third-down offense ranks 53rd of 138. Ohio State's third-down defense ranks 50th of 138.
Northwestern's red-zone offense ranks 33rd of 138. Ohio State's red-zone defense ranks 69th of 138.
When Ohio State has the ball
Ohio State's early-down offense ranks 32nd of 138. Northwestern's early-down defense ranks 111th of 138.
Ohio State's passing-down offense ranks 58th of 138. Northwestern's passing-down defense ranks 32nd of 138.
Ohio State's third-down offense ranks 64th of 138. Northwestern's third-down defense ranks 22nd of 138.
Ohio State's red-zone offense ranks 44th of 138. Northwestern's red-zone defense ranks 18th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form0.075 last 3 vs 0.137 season (-0.062)
▼Defense form0.035 last 3 vs -0.033 season (+0.068)
▼Offense form-0.097 last 3 vs 0.092 season (-0.188)
▼Defense form-0.013 last 3 vs -0.133 season (+0.121)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAidan Chiles — 1898 yd, 13 TD
RushingCaleb Komolafe — 643 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingGriffin Wilde — 813 yd, 5 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJulian Sayin — 2007 yd, 19 TD
RushingBo Jackson — 685 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingJeremiah Smith — 1200 yd, 14 TD