Fourth Down Data
North Texas2-2 · American Athletic@Tulsa3-1 · American Athletic
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Thu, Oct 1, 9:00 PM ET· Chapman Stadium· Tulsa -1 · O/U 57.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 5d / 5dTravel 215 mi / 0 miForecast: 69°F · wind 10 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Tulsa -1 · O/U 57.5
opened Tulsa -2, now Tulsa -1
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
North Texas as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): none in this role
Since 2020: 15-9 ATS (24 games) · 13-10-1 O/U (24 games)
Tulsa as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 0-4 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 9-11 ATS (20 games) · 11-9 O/U (20 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalNorth Texas · 5 of 9
516.0
Yards / game
354.8
3.74
Points / drive
1.85
4.8
TDs / game
3.0
54.9
3rd-down %
27.3
71.4
RZ TD %
66.7
0.8
Turnover margin
0.8
2.0
Sacks / game
3.3
5.5
TFL / game
5.5
11.5
Havoc / game
14.8
49.8 / 50.2
Pass / Rush split
45.1 / 54.9
2026 · Situational matchup
When North Texas has the ball
North Texas's early-down offense ranks 15th of 138. Tulsa's early-down defense ranks 78th of 138.
North Texas's passing-down offense ranks 9th of 138. Tulsa's passing-down defense ranks 90th of 138.
North Texas's third-down offense ranks 4th of 138. Tulsa's third-down defense ranks 81st of 138.
North Texas's red-zone offense ranks 30th of 138. Tulsa's red-zone defense ranks 5th of 138.
When Tulsa has the ball
Tulsa's early-down offense ranks 125th of 138. North Texas's early-down defense ranks 100th of 138.
Tulsa's passing-down offense ranks 119th of 138. North Texas's passing-down defense ranks 97th of 138.
Tulsa's third-down offense ranks 80th of 138. North Texas's third-down defense ranks 91st of 138.
Tulsa's red-zone offense ranks 109th of 138. North Texas's red-zone defense ranks 51st of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.375 last 3 vs 0.320 season (+0.054)
▲Defense form0.022 last 3 vs 0.092 season (-0.071)
Offense formabout the same(-0.075 last 3 vs -0.046 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.131 last 3 vs -0.138 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingTayven Jackson — 1187 yd, 6 TD
RushingJahiem White — 363 yd, 7 TD
ReceivingJustin Stevenson — 281 yd, 1 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBaylor Hayes — 353 yd, 1 TD
RushingDamari Alston — 213 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingOran Singleton Jr. — 202 yd, 2 TD