Sat, Nov 14, 9:00 PM ET· Alamodome· North Texas -1.5 · O/U 77.5
Rest 7d / 9dTravel 273 mi / 0 mi
Market context
North Texas -1.5 · O/U 77.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
North Texas as road favorite
2026 overall: 5-3 ATS (8 games) · 7-1 O/U (8 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 6-1 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 9-9 ATS (18 games) · 13-5 O/U (18 games)
UTSA as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-3-2 ATS (8 games) · 5-3 O/U (8 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 8-1 ATS (9 games) · 6-3 O/U (9 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalNorth Texas · 8 of 9
534.7
Yards / game
410.3
3.67
Points / drive
2.78
5.4
TDs / game
3.9
50.0
3rd-down %
40.9
75.5
RZ TD %
59.4
0.6
Turnover margin
0.6
2.1
Sacks / game
1.1
5.8
TFL / game
4.9
12.7
Havoc / game
9.8
50.2 / 49.8
Pass / Rush split
46.4 / 53.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When North Texas has the ball
North Texas's early-down offense ranks 3rd of 138. UTSA's early-down defense ranks 90th of 138.
North Texas's passing-down offense ranks 3rd of 138. UTSA's passing-down defense ranks 122nd of 138.
North Texas's third-down offense ranks 5th of 138. UTSA's third-down defense ranks 127th of 138.
North Texas's red-zone offense ranks 12th of 138. UTSA's red-zone defense ranks 92nd of 138.
When UTSA has the ball
UTSA's early-down offense ranks 46th of 138. North Texas's early-down defense ranks 110th of 138.
UTSA's passing-down offense ranks 36th of 138. North Texas's passing-down defense ranks 101st of 138.
UTSA's third-down offense ranks 24th of 138. North Texas's third-down defense ranks 95th of 138.
UTSA's red-zone offense ranks 47th of 138. North Texas's red-zone defense ranks 76th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.293 last 3 vs 0.295 season)
▼Defense form0.162 last 3 vs 0.107 season (+0.055)
▲Offense form0.252 last 3 vs 0.131 season (+0.121)
▼Defense form0.167 last 3 vs 0.072 season (+0.095)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingTayven Jackson — 2880 yd, 23 TD
RushingJahiem White — 1186 yd, 16 TD
ReceivingJustin Stevenson — 898 yd, 8 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingOwen McCown — 2016 yd, 13 TD
RushingWill Henderson III — 682 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingMekhi Anderson — 434 yd, 5 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
North Texas offense
3rdof 1380.224419 plays
vs
UTSA defense · allowed
90thof 1380.013North Texas defense · allowed
110thof 1380.059vs
UTSA offense
46thof 1380.050425 plays
Passing downs
North Texas offense
3rdof 1380.369195 plays
vs
UTSA defense · allowed
122ndof 1380.184218 plays
North Texas defense · allowed
101stof 1380.069202 plays
vs
UTSA offense
36thof 1380.127201 plays
Third down
North Texas offense
5thof 1380.437115 plays
vs
UTSA defense · allowed
127thof 1380.268134 plays
North Texas defense · allowed
95thof 1380.117121 plays
vs
UTSA offense
24thof 1380.247127 plays
Red zone
North Texas offense
12thof 1380.296118 plays
vs
UTSA defense · allowed
92ndof 1380.071111 plays
North Texas defense · allowed
76thof 1380.012101 plays
vs
UTSA offense
47thof 1380.06088 plays
Field advancement
North Texas offense
5thof 13862.3%vs
UTSA defense · allowed
109thof 13848.7%North Texas defense · allowed
95thof 13847.0%vs
UTSA offense
72ndof 13847.0%Away
Home
North Texas Offense vs UTSA DefenseNorth Texas · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.51#5
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#97-0.12
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.267#1
530 plays
EPA/Play
#1120.080
allowed · 580 plays
0.340#3
285 plays
EPA/Pass
#900.040
allowed · 256 plays
0.182#10
245 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1150.112
allowed · 324 plays
53.0%#7
530 plays
Success Rate
#11548.4%
allowed · 580 plays
53.3%#11
Pass Success Rate
#10045.5%
allowed
52.7%#19
Rush Success Rate
#8848.2%
allowed
62.3%#5
Available Yards %
#10948.7%
allowed
68.8#31
Net Field Position
#6071.5
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.224#3
419 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#900.013
allowed
7.4#106
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1016.7
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
North Texas Defense vs UTSA OffenseUTSA · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.27#122
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#360.16
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.122#125
allowed · 513 plays
EPA/Play
#190.149
556 plays
0.312#135
allowed · 213 plays
EPA/Pass
#550.039
263 plays
-0.013#67
allowed · 300 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#20.247
293 plays
50.1%#130
allowed · 513 plays
Success Rate
#3649.1%
556 plays
48.2%#121
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#9342.6%
49.0%#93
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#654.9%
47.0%#95
allowed
Available Yards %
#7247.0%
70.1#97
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#4269.3
0.059#110
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#460.050
425 plays
7.2#62
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#877.2
2026 · Situational EPANorth Texas · 5 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.264
519 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.135
571 plays
0.126
508 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.069
584 plays
0.296
118 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.060
88 plays
0.012
101 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.071
111 plays
0.437
115 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.247
127 plays
0.117
121 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.268
134 plays