Fourth Down Data
North Carolina2-2 · ACC@Pittsburgh5-0 · ACC
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Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM ET· Acrisure Stadium· Pittsburgh -3.5 · O/U 46.5
Rest 7d / 8dTravel 318 mi / 0 miForecast: 68°F · wind 6 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Pittsburgh -3.5 · O/U 46.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
North Carolina as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 9-8 ATS (17 games) · 6-11 O/U (17 games)
Pittsburgh as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home favorite: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 4-0 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 17-13-1 ATS (31 games) · 17-14 O/U (31 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalPittsburgh · 7 of 9
345.8
Yards / game
478.0
2.22
Points / drive
3.00
2.8
TDs / game
5.0
40.9
3rd-down %
46.2
64.3
RZ TD %
63.6
-0.3
Turnover margin
1.0
2.5
Sacks / game
2.2
4.5
TFL / game
6.4
11.3
Havoc / game
12.6
48.7 / 51.3
Pass / Rush split
51.0 / 49.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When North Carolina has the ball
North Carolina's early-down offense ranks 101st of 138. Pittsburgh's early-down defense ranks 21st of 138.
North Carolina's passing-down offense ranks 40th of 138. Pittsburgh's passing-down defense ranks 15th of 138.
North Carolina's third-down offense ranks 74th of 138. Pittsburgh's third-down defense ranks 30th of 138.
North Carolina's red-zone offense ranks 40th of 138. Pittsburgh's red-zone defense ranks 19th of 138.
When Pittsburgh has the ball
Pittsburgh's early-down offense ranks 51st of 138. North Carolina's early-down defense ranks 95th of 138.
Pittsburgh's passing-down offense ranks 43rd of 138. North Carolina's passing-down defense ranks 44th of 138.
Pittsburgh's third-down offense ranks 36th of 138. North Carolina's third-down defense ranks 85th of 138.
Pittsburgh's red-zone offense ranks 35th of 138. North Carolina's red-zone defense ranks 12th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.104 last 3 vs 0.050 season (+0.053)
▼Defense form0.055 last 3 vs -0.020 season (+0.075)
▲Offense form0.184 last 3 vs 0.133 season (+0.051)
Defense formabout the same(-0.184 last 3 vs -0.167 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBilly Edwards Jr. — 819 yd, 6 TD
RushingBenjamin Hall — 251 yd, 0 TD
ReceivingJordan Shipp — 273 yd, 0 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMason Heintschel — 1304 yd, 14 TD
RushingDamon Ferguson Jr. — 270 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingCataurus Hicks — 315 yd, 3 TD