Fourth Down Data
#14Missouri5-1 · SEC@#9Ole Miss4-1 · SEC
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Sat, Oct 17, 3:30 PM ET· Vaught-Hemingway Stadium· Ole Miss -6.5 · O/U 58.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 352 mi / 0 miForecast: 65°F · wind 15 mph · Clear
Market context
Ole Miss -6.5 · O/U 58.5
total opened 58, now 58.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Missouri as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 9-11 ATS (20 games) · 5-15 O/U (20 games)
Ole Miss as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home favorite: 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 6-2 ATS (8 games) · 3-5 O/U (8 games)
Since 2020: 20-19-1 ATS (40 games) · 13-27 O/U (40 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalMissouri · 5 of 9
438.2
Yards / game
433.8
2.60
Points / drive
3.35
4.2
TDs / game
4.6
42.7
3rd-down %
43.9
56.0
RZ TD %
90.0
0.8
Turnover margin
-0.2
3.0
Sacks / game
1.8
7.2
TFL / game
6.2
16.8
Havoc / game
12.6
44.0 / 56.0
Pass / Rush split
54.6 / 45.4
2026 · Situational matchup
When Missouri has the ball
Missouri's early-down offense ranks 53rd of 138. Ole Miss's early-down defense ranks 120th of 138.
Missouri's passing-down offense ranks 29th of 138. Ole Miss's passing-down defense ranks 109th of 138.
Missouri's third-down offense ranks 68th of 138. Ole Miss's third-down defense ranks 125th of 138.
Missouri's red-zone offense ranks 70th of 138. Ole Miss's red-zone defense ranks 45th of 138.
When Ole Miss has the ball
Ole Miss's early-down offense ranks 12th of 138. Missouri's early-down defense ranks 7th of 138.
Ole Miss's passing-down offense ranks 31st of 138. Missouri's passing-down defense ranks 26th of 138.
Ole Miss's third-down offense ranks 83rd of 138. Missouri's third-down defense ranks 20th of 138.
Ole Miss's red-zone offense ranks 1st of 138. Missouri's red-zone defense ranks 14th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.089 last 3 vs 0.084 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.217 last 3 vs -0.257 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.213 last 3 vs 0.165 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.012 last 3 vs -0.004 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAustin Simmons — 1434 yd, 14 TD
RushingJamal Roberts — 828 yd, 8 TD
ReceivingCayden Lee — 616 yd, 5 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingTrinidad Chambliss — 1435 yd, 11 TD
RushingKewan Lacy — 230 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingDeuce Alexander — 503 yd, 5 TD