Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET· Sanford Stadium· Georgia -14.5 · O/U 47
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 605 mi / 0 miForecast: 51°F · wind 12 mph · Clear
Market context
Georgia -14.5 · O/U 47
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Missouri as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-4 ATS (8 games) · 3-5 O/U (8 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 9-12 ATS (21 games) · 5-16 O/U (21 games)
Georgia as home favorite
2026 overall: 7-2 ATS (9 games) · 6-3 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 5-1 O/U (6 games)
Last season (2025): 3-5 ATS (8 games) · 4-4 O/U (8 games)
Since 2020: 21-27-1 ATS (49 games) · 26-23 O/U (49 games)
2026 · TraditionalGeorgia · 7 of 9
414.8
Yards / game
454.2
2.26
Points / drive
3.64
3.3
TDs / game
5.0
39.1
3rd-down %
52.4
50.0
RZ TD %
77.3
1.0
Turnover margin
0.9
2.4
Sacks / game
3.4
6.1
TFL / game
6.7
15.8
Havoc / game
15.6
48.8 / 51.2
Pass / Rush split
42.3 / 57.7
2026 · Situational matchup
When Missouri has the ball
Missouri's early-down offense ranks 71st of 138. Georgia's early-down defense ranks 3rd of 138.
Missouri's passing-down offense ranks 44th of 138. Georgia's passing-down defense ranks 40th of 138.
Missouri's third-down offense ranks 91st of 138. Georgia's third-down defense ranks 53rd of 138.
Missouri's red-zone offense ranks 108th of 138. Georgia's red-zone defense ranks 132nd of 138.
When Georgia has the ball
Georgia's early-down offense ranks 9th of 138. Missouri's early-down defense ranks 6th of 138.
Georgia's passing-down offense ranks 37th of 138. Missouri's passing-down defense ranks 47th of 138.
Georgia's third-down offense ranks 25th of 138. Missouri's third-down defense ranks 58th of 138.
Georgia's red-zone offense ranks 18th of 138. Missouri's red-zone defense ranks 17th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Missouri offense
71stof 1380.007411 plays
vs
Georgia defense · allowed
3rdof 138-0.259Missouri defense · allowed
6thof 138-0.215vs
Georgia offense
9thof 1380.157326 plays
Passing downs
Missouri offense
44thof 1380.091224 plays
vs
Georgia defense · allowed
40thof 138-0.084224 plays
Missouri defense · allowed
47thof 138-0.070234 plays
vs
Georgia offense
37thof 1380.123157 plays
Third down
Missouri offense
91stof 138-0.023130 plays
vs
Georgia defense · allowed
53rdof 138-0.010131 plays
Missouri defense · allowed
58thof 1380.002136 plays
vs
Georgia offense
25thof 1380.242103 plays
Red zone
Missouri offense
108thof 138-0.13499 plays
vs
Georgia defense · allowed
132ndof 1380.28845 plays · small sample
Missouri defense · allowed
17thof 138-0.24569 plays
vs
Georgia offense
18thof 1380.23096 plays
Field advancement
Missouri offense
61stof 13848.5%vs
Georgia defense · allowed
7thof 13831.7%Missouri defense · allowed
19thof 13836.0%vs
Georgia offense
15thof 13858.0%Missouri Offense vs Georgia DefenseGeorgia · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.02#69
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#30.49
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.013#65
540 plays
EPA/Play
#5-0.234
allowed · 364 plays
0.021#61
275 plays
EPA/Pass
#20-0.160
allowed · 183 plays
0.003#74
265 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#2-0.308
allowed · 181 plays
43.5%#113
540 plays
Success Rate
#438.5%
allowed · 364 plays
42.9%#88
Pass Success Rate
#3941.0%
allowed
44.2%#114
Rush Success Rate
#2743.3%
allowed
48.5%#61
Available Yards %
#731.7%
allowed
67.2#10
Net Field Position
#3472.7
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.007#71
411 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#3-0.259
allowed
7.5#113
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#88.0
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Missouri Defense vs Georgia OffenseGeorgia · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.27#25
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#70.47
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.156#14
allowed · 528 plays
EPA/Play
#90.205
405 plays
-0.156#21
allowed · 272 plays
EPA/Pass
#130.208
179 plays
-0.157#15
allowed · 256 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#80.204
226 plays
41.5%#22
allowed · 528 plays
Success Rate
#456.0%
405 plays
39.5%#27
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#654.7%
45.6%#51
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#357.1%
36.0%#19
allowed
Available Yards %
#1558.0%
72.9#30
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#1868.0
-0.215#6
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#90.157
326 plays
7.6#29
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#65.9
2026 · Situational EPAGeorgia · 5 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.019
548 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.158
430 plays
-0.157
529 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.216
403 plays
-0.134
99 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.230
96 plays
-0.245
69 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.288
45 plays · small sample
-0.023
130 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.242
103 plays
0.002
136 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.010
131 plays