Fourth Down Data
#22Missouri5-2 · SEC@Arkansas3-4 · SEC
Share →
Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET· Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium· Missouri -10.5 · O/U 48.5
Rest 14d / 14dTravel 223 mi / 0 miForecast: 67°F · wind 13 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Missouri -10.5 · O/U 48.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Missouri as road favorite
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 8-3 ATS (11 games) · 7-4 O/U (11 games)
Arkansas as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-4 ATS (7 games) · 2-5 O/U (7 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 10-10-1 ATS (21 games) · 9-11 O/U (20 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalMissouri · 7 of 9
429.6
Yards / game
343.0
2.33
Points / drive
1.79
3.6
TDs / game
2.3
41.4
3rd-down %
42.4
50.0
RZ TD %
57.7
0.7
Turnover margin
0.1
2.6
Sacks / game
1.4
6.3
TFL / game
3.9
15.9
Havoc / game
8.9
46.8 / 53.2
Pass / Rush split
50.7 / 49.3
2026 · Situational matchup
When Missouri has the ball
Missouri's early-down offense ranks 69th of 138. Arkansas's early-down defense ranks 41st of 138.
Missouri's passing-down offense ranks 37th of 138. Arkansas's passing-down defense ranks 17th of 138.
Missouri's third-down offense ranks 68th of 138. Arkansas's third-down defense ranks 107th of 138.
Missouri's red-zone offense ranks 96th of 138. Arkansas's red-zone defense ranks 119th of 138.
When Arkansas has the ball
Arkansas's early-down offense ranks 120th of 138. Missouri's early-down defense ranks 5th of 138.
Arkansas's passing-down offense ranks 122nd of 138. Missouri's passing-down defense ranks 27th of 138.
Arkansas's third-down offense ranks 44th of 138. Missouri's third-down defense ranks 42nd of 138.
Arkansas's red-zone offense ranks 106th of 138. Missouri's red-zone defense ranks 34th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.013 last 3 vs 0.047 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.218 last 3 vs -0.212 season)
▲Offense form-0.027 last 3 vs -0.109 season (+0.082)
Defense formabout the same(0.005 last 3 vs 0.008 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAustin Simmons — 1773 yd, 14 TD
RushingJamal Roberts — 867 yd, 8 TD
ReceivingCayden Lee — 678 yd, 5 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKJ Jackson — 1444 yd, 7 TD
RushingBraylen Russell — 205 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingChris Marshall — 633 yd, 2 TD