Fourth Down Data
#7Ole Miss5-1 · SEC@#19Texas4-2 · SEC
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Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET· Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium· Texas -3.5 · O/U 54
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 555 mi / 0 miForecast: 78°F · wind 9 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Texas -3.5 · O/U 54
total opened 52.5, now 54
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Ole Miss as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 3-0 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 6-7 ATS (13 games) · 7-6 O/U (13 games)
Texas as home favorite
2026 overall: 1-5 ATS (6 games) · 2-3-1 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 1-2-1 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 4-2-1 ATS (7 games) · 4-3 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 24-20-1 ATS (45 games) · 20-24-1 O/U (45 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalOle Miss · 6 of 9
444.5
Yards / game
362.3
3.26
Points / drive
2.20
4.5
TDs / game
3.3
47.9
3rd-down %
41.7
87.5
RZ TD %
65.2
-0.2
Turnover margin
-0.5
1.8
Sacks / game
3.2
6.0
TFL / game
7.7
12.8
Havoc / game
16.0
53.5 / 46.5
Pass / Rush split
43.9 / 56.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When Ole Miss has the ball
Ole Miss's early-down offense ranks 22nd of 138. Texas's early-down defense ranks 11th of 138.
Ole Miss's passing-down offense ranks 34th of 138. Texas's passing-down defense ranks 20th of 138.
Ole Miss's third-down offense ranks 49th of 138. Texas's third-down defense ranks 91st of 138.
Ole Miss's red-zone offense ranks 1st of 138. Texas's red-zone defense ranks 73rd of 138.
When Texas has the ball
Texas's early-down offense ranks 113th of 138. Ole Miss's early-down defense ranks 100th of 138.
Texas's passing-down offense ranks 47th of 138. Ole Miss's passing-down defense ranks 97th of 138.
Texas's third-down offense ranks 73rd of 138. Ole Miss's third-down defense ranks 121st of 138.
Texas's red-zone offense ranks 64th of 138. Ole Miss's red-zone defense ranks 30th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.198 last 3 vs 0.149 season)
▲Defense form-0.105 last 3 vs -0.033 season (-0.072)
▼Offense form-0.177 last 3 vs -0.066 season (-0.111)
Defense formabout the same(-0.141 last 3 vs -0.144 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingTrinidad Chambliss — 1676 yd, 14 TD
RushingKewan Lacy — 352 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingDeuce Alexander — 523 yd, 5 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingArch Manning — 1295 yd, 11 TD
RushingHollywood Smothers — 289 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingRyan Wingo — 345 yd, 3 TD