Fourth Down Data
Memphis3-1 · American Athletic@Charlotte0-4 · American Athletic
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Sat, Oct 3, 3:30 PM ET· Jerry Richardson Stadium· Memphis -20.5 · O/U 53
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 14d / 7dTravel 521 mi / 0 miForecast: 78°F · wind 9 mph · Rain, Partially cloudy
Market context
Memphis -20.5 · O/U 53
total opened 54.5, now 53
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Memphis as road favorite
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 11-9 ATS (20 games) · 12-8 O/U (20 games)
Charlotte as home underdog
2026 overall: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 0-3 O/U (3 games)
2026 as home underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 0-6 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 4-19 ATS (23 games) · 12-11 O/U (23 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalMemphis · 7 of 9
508.0
Yards / game
311.0
3.05
Points / drive
1.44
4.3
TDs / game
2.0
43.9
3rd-down %
30.8
52.9
RZ TD %
60.0
-0.3
Turnover margin
-1.3
2.5
Sacks / game
1.5
5.5
TFL / game
6.5
12.0
Havoc / game
10.5
40.8 / 59.2
Pass / Rush split
55.8 / 44.2
2026 · Situational matchup
When Memphis has the ball
Memphis's early-down offense ranks 7th of 138. Charlotte's early-down defense ranks 120th of 138.
Memphis's passing-down offense ranks 21st of 138. Charlotte's passing-down defense ranks 129th of 138.
Memphis's third-down offense ranks 78th of 138. Charlotte's third-down defense ranks 21st of 138.
Memphis's red-zone offense ranks 116th of 138. Charlotte's red-zone defense ranks 126th of 138.
When Charlotte has the ball
Charlotte's early-down offense ranks 132nd of 138. Memphis's early-down defense ranks 110th of 138.
Charlotte's passing-down offense ranks 127th of 138. Memphis's passing-down defense ranks 54th of 138.
Charlotte's third-down offense ranks 90th of 138. Memphis's third-down defense ranks 122nd of 138.
Charlotte's red-zone offense ranks 75th of 138. Memphis's red-zone defense ranks 95th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.262 last 3 vs 0.229 season)
Defense formabout the same(0.078 last 3 vs 0.054 season)
▼Offense form-0.345 last 3 vs -0.242 season (-0.103)
Defense formabout the same(0.006 last 3 vs 0.051 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMarcus Stokes — 1053 yd, 9 TD
RushingJaylin Carter — 437 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingHunter Tipton — 307 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCole Gonzales — 729 yd, 3 TD
RushingKhamani Alexander — 176 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJaden Barnes — 239 yd, 0 TD