Sat, Oct 3, 4:00 PM ET· Memorial Stadium· Nebraska -14.5 · O/U 52.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 1,053 mi / 0 miForecast: 67°F · wind 8 mph · Clear
Market context
Nebraska -14.5 · O/U 52.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Maryland as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 1-4 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 6-13-1 ATS (20 games) · 5-15 O/U (20 games)
Nebraska as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 3-0 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 11-14-1 ATS (26 games) · 13-13 O/U (26 games)
2026 · TraditionalNebraska · 9 of 9
431.3
Yards / game
482.8
2.78
Points / drive
4.17
4.3
TDs / game
5.5
42.9
3rd-down %
54.0
71.4
RZ TD %
82.4
0.3
Turnover margin
1.3
3.0
Sacks / game
3.8
5.0
TFL / game
6.5
11.8
Havoc / game
15.3
56.2 / 43.8
Pass / Rush split
41.9 / 58.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When Maryland has the ball
Maryland's early-down offense ranks 65th of 138. Nebraska's early-down defense ranks 24th of 138.
Maryland's passing-down offense ranks 105th of 138. Nebraska's passing-down defense ranks 2nd of 138.
Maryland's third-down offense ranks 72nd of 138. Nebraska's third-down defense ranks 6th of 138.
Maryland's red-zone offense ranks 42nd of 138. Nebraska's red-zone defense ranks 62nd of 138.
When Nebraska has the ball
Nebraska's early-down offense ranks 32nd of 138. Maryland's early-down defense ranks 34th of 138.
Nebraska's passing-down offense ranks 3rd of 138. Maryland's passing-down defense ranks 102nd of 138.
Nebraska's third-down offense ranks 6th of 138. Maryland's third-down defense ranks 56th of 138.
Nebraska's red-zone offense ranks 22nd of 138. Maryland's red-zone defense ranks 115th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Maryland offense
65thof 1380.025170 plays
vs
Nebraska defense · allowed
24thof 138-0.154Maryland defense · allowed
34thof 138-0.122vs
Nebraska offense
32ndof 1380.119181 plays
Passing downs
Maryland offense
105thof 138-0.09690 plays
vs
Nebraska defense · allowed
2ndof 138-0.41288 plays
Maryland defense · allowed
102ndof 1380.09191 plays
vs
Nebraska offense
3rdof 1380.45986 plays
Third down
Maryland offense
72ndof 1380.08557 plays · small sample
vs
Nebraska defense · allowed
6thof 138-0.46848 plays · small sample
Maryland defense · allowed
56thof 138-0.05253 plays · small sample
vs
Nebraska offense
6thof 1380.60151 plays · small sample
Red zone
Maryland offense
42ndof 1380.15451 plays · small sample
vs
Nebraska defense · allowed
62ndof 138-0.09820 plays · small sample
Maryland defense · allowed
115thof 1380.25921 plays · small sample
vs
Nebraska offense
22ndof 1380.27651 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Maryland offense
72ndof 13850.3%vs
Nebraska defense · allowed
16thof 13830.1%Maryland defense · allowed
48thof 13836.9%vs
Nebraska offense
6thof 13867.1%Maryland Offense vs Nebraska DefenseNebraska · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.07#59
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#250.17
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.025#69
221 plays
EPA/Play
#16-0.175
allowed · 179 plays
0.044#65
136 plays
EPA/Pass
#51-0.095
allowed · 79 plays
-0.004#84
85 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#13-0.238
allowed · 100 plays
49.3%#50
221 plays
Success Rate
#1939.1%
allowed · 179 plays
50.7%#32
Pass Success Rate
#5941.1%
allowed
47.1%#81
Rush Success Rate
#1037.6%
allowed
50.3%#72
Available Yards %
#1630.1%
allowed
69.0#46
Net Field Position
#4273.3
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.025#65
170 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#24-0.154
allowed
7.1#85
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#447.7
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Maryland Defense vs Nebraska OffenseNebraska · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.02#83
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#90.32
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.053#60
allowed · 184 plays
EPA/Play
#150.234
233 plays
0.068#101
allowed · 88 plays
EPA/Pass
#220.242
97 plays
-0.164#31
allowed · 96 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#120.228
136 plays
42.9%#52
allowed · 184 plays
Success Rate
#1254.5%
233 plays
41.7%#63
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#3550.5%
40.1%#21
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#957.4%
36.9%#48
allowed
Available Yards %
#667.1%
69.4#104
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#6069.8
-0.122#34
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#320.119
181 plays
7.8#38
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#526.6
2026 · Situational EPANebraska · 6 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.012
216 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.218
235 plays
-0.053
185 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.152
177 plays
0.154
51 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
0.276
51 plays · small sample
0.259
21 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.098
20 plays · small sample
0.085
57 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Off
0.601
51 plays · small sample
-0.052
53 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.468
48 plays · small sample