Sat, Oct 31, 12:45 PM ET· Vaught-Hemingway Stadium· Ole Miss -10.5 · O/U 53.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 263 mi / 0 miForecast: 73°F · wind 7 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Ole Miss -10.5 · O/U 53.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Auburn as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-1-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 11-11-2 ATS (24 games) · 11-13 O/U (24 games)
Ole Miss as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 6-2 ATS (8 games) · 3-5 O/U (8 games)
Since 2020: 21-19-1 ATS (41 games) · 13-28 O/U (41 games)
2026 · TraditionalOle Miss · 5 of 9
394.2
Yards / game
444.5
2.08
Points / drive
3.26
3.0
TDs / game
4.5
45.6
3rd-down %
47.9
65.0
RZ TD %
87.5
0.3
Turnover margin
-0.2
2.7
Sacks / game
1.8
6.8
TFL / game
6.0
14.3
Havoc / game
12.8
45.3 / 54.7
Pass / Rush split
53.5 / 46.5
2026 · Situational matchup
When Auburn has the ball
Auburn's early-down offense ranks 99th of 138. Ole Miss's early-down defense ranks 100th of 138.
Auburn's passing-down offense ranks 60th of 138. Ole Miss's passing-down defense ranks 98th of 138.
Auburn's third-down offense ranks 52nd of 138. Ole Miss's third-down defense ranks 121st of 138.
Auburn's red-zone offense ranks 27th of 138. Ole Miss's red-zone defense ranks 31st of 138.
When Ole Miss has the ball
Ole Miss's early-down offense ranks 21st of 138. Auburn's early-down defense ranks 39th of 138.
Ole Miss's passing-down offense ranks 32nd of 138. Auburn's passing-down defense ranks 63rd of 138.
Ole Miss's third-down offense ranks 50th of 138. Auburn's third-down defense ranks 37th of 138.
Ole Miss's red-zone offense ranks 1st of 138. Auburn's red-zone defense ranks 94th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Auburn offense
99thof 138-0.057291 plays
vs
Ole Miss defense · allowed
100thof 1380.039254 plays
Auburn defense · allowed
39thof 138-0.066313 plays
vs
Ole Miss offense
21stof 1380.126286 plays
Passing downs
Auburn offense
60thof 1380.049159 plays
vs
Ole Miss defense · allowed
98thof 1380.096154 plays
Auburn defense · allowed
63rdof 138-0.037136 plays
vs
Ole Miss offense
32ndof 1380.194122 plays
Third down
Auburn offense
52ndof 1380.15491 plays
vs
Ole Miss defense · allowed
121stof 1380.24792 plays
Auburn defense · allowed
37thof 138-0.10995 plays
vs
Ole Miss offense
50thof 1380.16072 plays
Red zone
Auburn offense
27thof 1380.19052 plays · small sample
vs
Ole Miss defense · allowed
31stof 138-0.20872 plays
Auburn defense · allowed
94thof 1380.06252 plays · small sample
vs
Ole Miss offense
1stof 1380.58352 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Auburn offense
77thof 13846.5%vs
Ole Miss defense · allowed
89thof 13846.1%Auburn defense · allowed
67thof 13843.3%vs
Ole Miss offense
50thof 13851.9%Auburn Offense vs Ole Miss DefenseOle Miss · 6 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.02#80
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#640.02
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.000#80
385 plays
EPA/Play
#850.021
allowed · 335 plays
-0.044#88
183 plays
EPA/Pass
#900.051
allowed · 151 plays
0.041#63
202 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#68-0.005
allowed · 184 plays
44.7%#97
385 plays
Success Rate
#7745.7%
allowed · 335 plays
44.8%#73
Pass Success Rate
#6142.0%
allowed
44.6%#112
Rush Success Rate
#9848.5%
allowed
46.5%#77
Available Yards %
#8946.1%
allowed
72.4#108
Net Field Position
#7671.2
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.057#99
291 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#1000.039
allowed · 254 plays
6.8#64
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#597.3
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Auburn Defense vs Ole Miss OffenseOle Miss · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.14#39
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#160.31
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.019#65
allowed · 420 plays
EPA/Play
#280.133
354 plays
-0.044#63
allowed · 192 plays
EPA/Pass
#220.180
198 plays
0.002#72
allowed · 228 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#500.074
156 plays
46.7%#89
allowed · 420 plays
Success Rate
#2850.3%
354 plays
46.7%#113
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#3250.0%
46.9%#70
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#4150.6%
43.3%#67
allowed
Available Yards %
#5051.9%
71.8#57
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#10172.1
-0.066#39
allowed · 313 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#210.126
286 plays
6.9#85
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#767.1
2026 · Situational EPAOle Miss · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.002
398 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.135
354 plays
-0.022
425 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.030
343 plays
0.190
52 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
0.583
52 plays · small sample
0.062
52 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.208
72 plays
0.154
91 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.160
72 plays
-0.109
95 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.247
92 plays