Fourth Down Data
Auburn5-4 · SEC@Mississippi State4-5 · SEC
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Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET· Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field· Auburn -3 · O/U 50
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 200 mi / 0 miForecast: 53°F · wind 6 mph · Clear
Market context
Auburn -3 · O/U 50
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Auburn as road favorite
2026 overall: 2-7 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 4-4 ATS (8 games) · 2-6 O/U (8 games)
Mississippi State as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 3-6 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home underdog: 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 7-15-1 ATS (23 games) · 14-9 O/U (23 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalAuburn · 5 of 9
367.8
Yards / game
395.8
2.01
Points / drive
2.17
2.8
TDs / game
3.2
42.2
3rd-down %
40.5
60.0
RZ TD %
55.6
0.3
Turnover margin
-0.4
2.6
Sacks / game
2.6
6.8
TFL / game
5.8
14.6
Havoc / game
13.3
47.2 / 52.8
Pass / Rush split
47.0 / 53.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Auburn has the ball
Auburn's early-down offense ranks 108th of 138. Mississippi State's early-down defense ranks 46th of 138.
Auburn's passing-down offense ranks 54th of 138. Mississippi State's passing-down defense ranks 103rd of 138.
Auburn's third-down offense ranks 36th of 138. Mississippi State's third-down defense ranks 79th of 138.
Auburn's red-zone offense ranks 38th of 138. Mississippi State's red-zone defense ranks 44th of 138.
When Mississippi State has the ball
Mississippi State's early-down offense ranks 91st of 138. Auburn's early-down defense ranks 60th of 138.
Mississippi State's passing-down offense ranks 89th of 138. Auburn's passing-down defense ranks 102nd of 138.
Mississippi State's third-down offense ranks 69th of 138. Auburn's third-down defense ranks 114th of 138.
Mississippi State's red-zone offense ranks 121st of 138. Auburn's red-zone defense ranks 103rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.059 last 3 vs -0.017 season)
▼Defense form0.173 last 3 vs 0.034 season (+0.139)
▼Offense form-0.291 last 3 vs -0.073 season (-0.218)
Defense formabout the same(-0.046 last 3 vs -0.009 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingByrum Brown — 1740 yd, 11 TD
RushingByrum Brown — 606 yd, 8 TD
ReceivingKeshaun Singleton — 491 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKamario Taylor — 1460 yd, 17 TD
RushingFluff Bothwell — 613 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingAnthony Evans III — 711 yd, 5 TD