Fourth Down Data
#11LSU4-1 · SEC@#24Kentucky4-1 · SEC
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Sat, Oct 10, 7:00 PM ET· Kroger Field· LSU -10 · O/U 55
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 649 mi / 0 miForecast: 68°F · wind 10 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
LSU -10 · O/U 55
total opened 54.5, now 55
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
LSU as road favorite
2026 overall: 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): none in this role
Since 2020: 6-10-1 ATS (17 games) · 8-9 O/U (17 games)
Kentucky as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 4-0 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 9-6 ATS (15 games) · 8-7 O/U (15 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalLSU · 7 of 9
547.8
Yards / game
416.8
3.36
Points / drive
2.87
5.6
TDs / game
4.2
51.9
3rd-down %
24.5
71.0
RZ TD %
76.2
0.0
Turnover margin
1.0
4.4
Sacks / game
2.0
8.0
TFL / game
4.4
18.2
Havoc / game
13.8
43.4 / 56.6
Pass / Rush split
44.3 / 55.7
2026 · Situational matchup
When LSU has the ball
LSU's early-down offense ranks 65th of 138. Kentucky's early-down defense ranks 66th of 138.
LSU's passing-down offense ranks 84th of 138. Kentucky's passing-down defense ranks 130th of 138.
LSU's third-down offense ranks 75th of 138. Kentucky's third-down defense ranks 104th of 138.
LSU's red-zone offense ranks 91st of 138. Kentucky's red-zone defense ranks 110th of 138.
When Kentucky has the ball
Kentucky's early-down offense ranks 5th of 138. LSU's early-down defense ranks 2nd of 138.
Kentucky's passing-down offense ranks 66th of 138. LSU's passing-down defense ranks 9th of 138.
Kentucky's third-down offense ranks 138th of 138. LSU's third-down defense ranks 6th of 138.
Kentucky's red-zone offense ranks 12th of 138. LSU's red-zone defense ranks 127th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.210 last 3 vs 0.075 season (+0.135)
▼Defense form-0.315 last 3 vs -0.529 season (+0.214)
▲Offense form0.219 last 3 vs 0.076 season (+0.143)
▲Defense form-0.080 last 3 vs -0.021 season (-0.058)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingSam Leavitt — 1220 yd, 8 TD
RushingDilin Jones — 427 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingWinston Watkins, Jr. — 354 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKenny Minchey — 1148 yd, 11 TD
RushingCJ Baxter — 361 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingKenny Darby — 322 yd, 3 TD