Fourth Down Data
Kentucky5-1 · SEC@Oklahoma3-2 · SEC
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Sat, Oct 17, 7:30 PM ET· Memorial Stadium at Owen Field· Oklahoma -6.5 · O/U 43.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 743 mi / 0 miForecast: 58°F · wind 6 mph · Clear
Market context
Oklahoma -6.5 · O/U 43.5
total opened 42, now 43.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Kentucky as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 5-0 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 13-8 ATS (21 games) · 10-11 O/U (21 games)
Oklahoma as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-5-1 ATS (8 games) · 2-6 O/U (8 games)
Since 2020: 23-17-1 ATS (41 games) · 22-18 O/U (40 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalKentucky · 5 of 9
414.2
Yards / game
304.6
2.80
Points / drive
1.24
4.0
TDs / game
2.2
26.9
3rd-down %
30.3
65.5
RZ TD %
50.0
1.2
Turnover margin
-0.8
2.2
Sacks / game
3.0
5.0
TFL / game
6.6
14.0
Havoc / game
14.8
45.8 / 54.2
Pass / Rush split
45.4 / 54.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When Kentucky has the ball
Kentucky's early-down offense ranks 7th of 138. Oklahoma's early-down defense ranks 14th of 138.
Kentucky's passing-down offense ranks 83rd of 138. Oklahoma's passing-down defense ranks 4th of 138.
Kentucky's third-down offense ranks 138th of 138. Oklahoma's third-down defense ranks 2nd of 138.
Kentucky's red-zone offense ranks 54th of 138. Oklahoma's red-zone defense ranks 37th of 138.
When Oklahoma has the ball
Oklahoma's early-down offense ranks 102nd of 138. Kentucky's early-down defense ranks 59th of 138.
Oklahoma's passing-down offense ranks 123rd of 138. Kentucky's passing-down defense ranks 130th of 138.
Oklahoma's third-down offense ranks 136th of 138. Kentucky's third-down defense ranks 106th of 138.
Oklahoma's red-zone offense ranks 129th of 138. Kentucky's red-zone defense ranks 109th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.116 last 3 vs 0.059 season (+0.057)
▲Defense form-0.052 last 3 vs 0.001 season (-0.053)
▼Offense form-0.363 last 3 vs -0.209 season (-0.154)
▲Defense form-0.207 last 3 vs -0.147 season (-0.059)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKenny Minchey — 1394 yd, 11 TD
RushingCJ Baxter — 484 yd, 8 TD
ReceivingKenny Darby — 401 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJohn Mateer — 1038 yd, 8 TD
RushingLloyd Avant — 236 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingIsaiah Sategna III — 331 yd, 2 TD