Tue, Nov 10, 7:00 PM ET· Doyt L. Perry Stadium· Bowling Green -6 · O/U 45
Rest 11d / 10dTravel 121 mi / 0 miForecast: 48°F · wind 6 mph · Clear
Market context
Bowling Green -6 · O/U 45
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Kent State as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 5-4 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-4 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 5-2 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 10-25-2 ATS (37 games) · 25-12 O/U (37 games)
Bowling Green as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 6-3 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 0-4 ATS (4 games) · 0-4 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 6-14 ATS (20 games) · 8-12 O/U (20 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalBowling Green · 5 of 9
287.8
Yards / game
286.2
1.25
Points / drive
1.65
1.7
TDs / game
1.9
36.1
3rd-down %
39.7
48.1
RZ TD %
54.5
-0.9
Turnover margin
-0.3
2.4
Sacks / game
2.4
5.6
TFL / game
5.2
12.1
Havoc / game
10.8
47.9 / 52.1
Pass / Rush split
44.0 / 56.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Kent State has the ball
Kent State's early-down offense ranks 133rd of 138. Bowling Green's early-down defense ranks 120th of 138.
Kent State's passing-down offense ranks 74th of 138. Bowling Green's passing-down defense ranks 56th of 138.
Kent State's third-down offense ranks 62nd of 138. Bowling Green's third-down defense ranks 16th of 138.
Kent State's red-zone offense ranks 136th of 138. Bowling Green's red-zone defense ranks 73rd of 138.
When Bowling Green has the ball
Bowling Green's early-down offense ranks 117th of 138. Kent State's early-down defense ranks 62nd of 138.
Bowling Green's passing-down offense ranks 122nd of 138. Kent State's passing-down defense ranks 8th of 138.
Bowling Green's third-down offense ranks 113th of 138. Kent State's third-down defense ranks 47th of 138.
Bowling Green's red-zone offense ranks 73rd of 138. Kent State's red-zone defense ranks 77th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.250 last 3 vs -0.180 season (-0.070)
Defense formabout the same(-0.068 last 3 vs -0.021 season)
▲Offense form-0.059 last 3 vs -0.143 season (+0.084)
Defense formabout the same(0.021 last 3 vs 0.022 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDru DeShields — 1629 yd, 9 TD
RushingBrandon White — 268 yd, 0 TD
ReceivingWayne Harris — 674 yd, 5 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJay Kastantin — 1567 yd, 11 TD
RushingAustyn Dendy — 371 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingJeremiah Scoby — 319 yd, 0 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Kent State offense
133rdof 138-0.174355 plays
vs
Bowling Green defense · allowed
120thof 1380.085Kent State defense · allowed
62ndof 138-0.033vs
Bowling Green offense
117thof 138-0.098358 plays
Passing downs
Kent State offense
74thof 138-0.032222 plays
vs
Bowling Green defense · allowed
56thof 138-0.050157 plays
Kent State defense · allowed
8thof 138-0.235176 plays
vs
Bowling Green offense
122ndof 138-0.148189 plays
Third down
Kent State offense
62ndof 1380.076133 plays
vs
Bowling Green defense · allowed
16thof 138-0.216103 plays
Kent State defense · allowed
47thof 138-0.043106 plays
vs
Bowling Green offense
113thof 138-0.125115 plays
Red zone
Kent State offense
136thof 138-0.54477 plays
vs
Bowling Green defense · allowed
73rdof 1380.00376 plays
Kent State defense · allowed
77thof 1380.01696 plays
vs
Bowling Green offense
73rdof 138-0.00454 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Kent State offense
134thof 13835.9%vs
Bowling Green defense · allowed
117thof 13851.0%Kent State defense · allowed
88thof 13846.3%vs
Bowling Green offense
128thof 13838.8%Away
Home
Kent State Offense vs Bowling Green DefenseBowling Green · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.54#136
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#110-0.19
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.141#132
487 plays
EPA/Play
#780.003
allowed · 458 plays
-0.119#104
242 plays
EPA/Pass
#59-0.056
allowed · 168 plays
-0.163#131
245 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#900.037
allowed · 290 plays
41.5%#128
487 plays
Success Rate
#10347.8%
allowed · 458 plays
40.5%#107
Pass Success Rate
#9745.2%
allowed
42.4%#124
Rush Success Rate
#9949.3%
allowed
35.9%#134
Available Yards %
#11751.0%
allowed
71.4#93
Net Field Position
#9970.1
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.174#133
355 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#1200.085
allowed
7.7#120
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#846.9
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Kent State Defense vs Bowling Green OffenseKent State · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.16#106
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#121-0.30
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.048#50
allowed · 477 plays
EPA/Play
#120-0.101
466 plays
-0.054#60
allowed · 217 plays
EPA/Pass
#81-0.029
215 plays
-0.043#49
allowed · 260 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#130-0.162
251 plays
48.2%#111
allowed · 477 plays
Success Rate
#7046.6%
466 plays
47.7%#117
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#6145.1%
50.2%#114
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#7647.8%
46.3%#88
allowed
Available Yards %
#12838.8%
68.4#125
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#10171.9
-0.033#62
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#117-0.098
358 plays
7.7#22
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#727.0
2026 · Situational EPABowling Green · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.137
484 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.106
466 plays
-0.047
471 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.001
463 plays
-0.544
77 plays
Red Zone · Off
-0.004
54 plays · small sample
0.016
96 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.003
76 plays
0.076
133 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.125
115 plays
-0.043
106 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.216
103 plays