Wed, Oct 7, 7:00 PM ET· Fifth Third Bank Stadium· Jacksonville State -3.5 · O/U 49.5
Rest 11d / 11dTravel 70 mi / 0 miForecast: 70°F · wind 2 mph · Clear
Market context
Jacksonville State -3.5 · O/U 49.5
total opened 50, now 49.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Jacksonville State as road favorite
2026 overall: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 3-4-1 ATS (8 games) · 6-2 O/U (8 games)
Kennesaw State as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 0-4 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 5-2 ATS (7 games) · 3-4 O/U (7 games)
Home
2026 · TraditionalJacksonville State · 7 of 9
392.4
Yards / game
368.0
2.60
Points / drive
1.88
3.0
TDs / game
2.8
48.2
3rd-down %
42.9
44.4
RZ TD %
61.5
-0.6
Turnover margin
0.3
2.0
Sacks / game
1.0
5.6
TFL / game
3.0
11.6
Havoc / game
7.5
43.0 / 57.0
Pass / Rush split
48.3 / 51.7
2026 · Situational matchup
When Jacksonville State has the ball
Jacksonville State's early-down offense ranks 54th of 138. Kennesaw State's early-down defense ranks 119th of 138.
Jacksonville State's passing-down offense ranks 54th of 138. Kennesaw State's passing-down defense ranks 90th of 138.
Jacksonville State's third-down offense ranks 42nd of 138. Kennesaw State's third-down defense ranks 38th of 138.
Jacksonville State's red-zone offense ranks 98th of 138. Kennesaw State's red-zone defense ranks 136th of 138.
When Kennesaw State has the ball
Kennesaw State's early-down offense ranks 67th of 138. Jacksonville State's early-down defense ranks 82nd of 138.
Kennesaw State's passing-down offense ranks 125th of 138. Jacksonville State's passing-down defense ranks 121st of 138.
Kennesaw State's third-down offense ranks 95th of 138. Jacksonville State's third-down defense ranks 110th of 138.
Kennesaw State's red-zone offense ranks 54th of 138. Jacksonville State's red-zone defense ranks 103rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.171 last 3 vs 0.113 season (+0.058)
Defense formabout the same(0.109 last 3 vs 0.081 season)
▼Offense form-0.158 last 3 vs -0.090 season (-0.068)
▼Defense form0.109 last 3 vs -0.067 season (+0.176)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCaden Creel — 1112 yd, 9 TD
RushingCaden Creel — 375 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJamill Williams — 238 yd, 4 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingRickie Collins — 749 yd, 2 TD
RushingRickie Collins — 185 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJavon Rogers — 194 yd, 0 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Jacksonville State offense
54thof 1380.038194 plays
vs
Kennesaw State defense · allowed
119thof 1380.088Jacksonville State defense · allowed
82ndof 138-0.019vs
Kennesaw State offense
67thof 1380.011145 plays
Passing downs
Jacksonville State offense
54thof 1380.09180 plays
vs
Kennesaw State defense · allowed
90thof 1380.05880 plays
Jacksonville State defense · allowed
121stof 1380.19097 plays
vs
Kennesaw State offense
125thof 138-0.20683 plays
Third down
Jacksonville State offense
42ndof 1380.22955 plays · small sample
vs
Kennesaw State defense · allowed
38thof 138-0.12847 plays · small sample
Jacksonville State defense · allowed
110thof 1380.19668 plays
vs
Kennesaw State offense
95thof 138-0.04049 plays · small sample
Red zone
Jacksonville State offense
98thof 138-0.08442 plays · small sample
vs
Kennesaw State defense · allowed
136thof 1380.52525 plays · small sample
Jacksonville State defense · allowed
103rdof 1380.10539 plays · small sample
vs
Kennesaw State offense
54thof 1380.10936 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Jacksonville State offense
37thof 13855.1%vs
Kennesaw State defense · allowed
84thof 13845.5%Jacksonville State defense · allowed
95thof 13847.0%vs
Kennesaw State offense
102ndof 13843.2%Home
Jacksonville State Offense vs Kennesaw State DefenseJacksonville State · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.05#54
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#93-0.06
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.114#35
251 plays
EPA/Play
#990.033
allowed · 197 plays
0.170#29
109 plays
EPA/Pass
#900.004
allowed · 87 plays
0.071#53
142 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#940.056
allowed · 110 plays
52.6%#14
251 plays
Success Rate
#9146.7%
allowed · 197 plays
52.3%#19
Pass Success Rate
#6942.5%
allowed
52.8%#23
Rush Success Rate
#8747.9%
allowed
55.1%#37
Available Yards %
#8445.5%
allowed
72.9#114
Net Field Position
#8271.0
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.038#54
194 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#1190.088
allowed
6.3#30
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#777.1
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Jacksonville State Defense vs Kennesaw State OffenseKennesaw State · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.05#91
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#106-0.15
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.087#114
allowed · 278 plays
EPA/Play
#108-0.076
184 plays
-0.029#80
allowed · 112 plays
EPA/Pass
#111-0.148
88 plays
0.165#129
allowed · 166 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#90-0.010
96 plays
49.3%#121
allowed · 278 plays
Success Rate
#7846.7%
184 plays
46.3%#106
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#5447.7%
50.3%#113
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#9945.8%
47.0%#95
allowed
Available Yards %
#10243.2%
71.9#64
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#9772.1
-0.019#82
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#670.011
145 plays
7.1#79
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#506.6
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.114
251 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.054
202 plays
0.087
278 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.019
214 plays
-0.084
42 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
0.109
36 plays · small sample
0.105
39 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.525
25 plays · small sample
0.229
55 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Off
-0.040
49 plays · small sample
0.196
68 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.128
47 plays · small sample