Fourth Down Data
Jacksonville State7-2 · Conference USA@Western Kentucky3-6 · Conference USA
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Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET· Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium· Jacksonville State -7.5 · O/U 53.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 222 mi / 0 miForecast: 45°F · wind 7 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Jacksonville State -7.5 · O/U 53.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Jacksonville State as road favorite
2026 overall: 5-3-1 ATS (9 games) · 6-3 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 4-5-1 ATS (10 games) · 7-3 O/U (10 games)
Western Kentucky as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): none in this role
Since 2020: 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalJacksonville State · 7 of 9
404.6
Yards / game
383.2
2.66
Points / drive
1.83
3.2
TDs / game
2.9
45.5
3rd-down %
40.1
51.5
RZ TD %
62.1
-0.6
Turnover margin
-0.6
1.7
Sacks / game
1.2
5.3
TFL / game
4.6
11.2
Havoc / game
10.3
43.6 / 56.4
Pass / Rush split
50.5 / 49.5
2026 · Situational matchup
When Jacksonville State has the ball
Jacksonville State's early-down offense ranks 35th of 138. Western Kentucky's early-down defense ranks 123rd of 138.
Jacksonville State's passing-down offense ranks 26th of 138. Western Kentucky's passing-down defense ranks 96th of 138.
Jacksonville State's third-down offense ranks 22nd of 138. Western Kentucky's third-down defense ranks 31st of 138.
Jacksonville State's red-zone offense ranks 104th of 138. Western Kentucky's red-zone defense ranks 133rd of 138.
When Western Kentucky has the ball
Western Kentucky's early-down offense ranks 82nd of 138. Jacksonville State's early-down defense ranks 36th of 138.
Western Kentucky's passing-down offense ranks 66th of 138. Jacksonville State's passing-down defense ranks 111th of 138.
Western Kentucky's third-down offense ranks 68th of 138. Jacksonville State's third-down defense ranks 123rd of 138.
Western Kentucky's red-zone offense ranks 79th of 138. Jacksonville State's red-zone defense ranks 51st of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.043 last 3 vs 0.092 season)
▲Defense form-0.149 last 3 vs 0.003 season (-0.152)
▲Offense form0.072 last 3 vs -0.023 season (+0.095)
Defense formabout the same(-0.005 last 3 vs 0.022 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCaden Creel — 1987 yd, 15 TD
RushingCaden Creel — 800 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingDeondre Johnson — 520 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBrock Glenn — 1039 yd, 7 TD
RushingAjay Allen — 535 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingJonathan Stafford Jr. — 523 yd, 1 TD