Fourth Down Data
Jacksonville State5-2 · Conference USA@New Mexico State3-4 · Conference USA
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Wed, Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET· Aggie Memorial Stadium· Elevation 3,964 ft· Jacksonville State -2.5 · O/U 49.5
Rest 15d / 7dTravel 1,217 mi / 0 miForecast: 69°F · wind 4 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Jacksonville State -2.5 · O/U 49.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Jacksonville State as road favorite
2026 overall: 3-3-1 ATS (7 games) · 5-2 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 3-5-1 ATS (9 games) · 7-2 O/U (9 games)
New Mexico State as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 3-4 O/U (7 games)
2026 as home underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 0-4 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 8-7 ATS (15 games) · 4-11 O/U (15 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalJacksonville State · 5 of 9
390.6
Yards / game
371.9
2.55
Points / drive
1.59
3.0
TDs / game
2.7
46.3
3rd-down %
37.8
46.2
RZ TD %
63.2
-0.6
Turnover margin
-0.7
1.7
Sacks / game
2.4
5.1
TFL / game
6.3
11.3
Havoc / game
12.6
45.6 / 54.4
Pass / Rush split
49.2 / 50.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When Jacksonville State has the ball
Jacksonville State's early-down offense ranks 71st of 138. New Mexico State's early-down defense ranks 11th of 138.
Jacksonville State's passing-down offense ranks 44th of 138. New Mexico State's passing-down defense ranks 26th of 138.
Jacksonville State's third-down offense ranks 24th of 138. New Mexico State's third-down defense ranks 70th of 138.
Jacksonville State's red-zone offense ranks 92nd of 138. New Mexico State's red-zone defense ranks 48th of 138.
When New Mexico State has the ball
New Mexico State's early-down offense ranks 134th of 138. Jacksonville State's early-down defense ranks 47th of 138.
New Mexico State's passing-down offense ranks 95th of 138. Jacksonville State's passing-down defense ranks 124th of 138.
New Mexico State's third-down offense ranks 19th of 138. Jacksonville State's third-down defense ranks 135th of 138.
New Mexico State's red-zone offense ranks 67th of 138. Jacksonville State's red-zone defense ranks 72nd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.085 last 3 vs 0.092 season)
Defense formabout the same(0.098 last 3 vs 0.080 season)
▼Offense form-0.222 last 3 vs -0.109 season (-0.113)
▲Defense form-0.316 last 3 vs -0.110 season (-0.206)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCaden Creel — 1637 yd, 12 TD
RushingCaden Creel — 500 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingDeondre Johnson — 431 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingTrey Hedden — 906 yd, 5 TD
RushingJames Jones — 777 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingTK King — 307 yd, 3 TD