Fourth Down Data
Arkansas2-2 · SEC@Texas A&M2-2 · SEC
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Sat, Oct 3, 7:00 PM ET· Kyle Field· Texas A&M -14 · O/U 50.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 397 mi / 0 miForecast: 78°F · wind 11 mph · Rain, Partially cloudy
Market context
Texas A&M -14 · O/U 50.5
total opened 51.5, now 50.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Arkansas as road underdog
2026 overall: 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 15-7-1 ATS (23 games) · 12-11 O/U (23 games)
Texas A&M as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 2-6 ATS (8 games) · 4-4 O/U (8 games)
Since 2020: 16-22-1 ATS (39 games) · 15-24 O/U (39 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalTexas A&M · 5 of 9
365.3
Yards / game
345.0
1.89
Points / drive
2.22
2.5
TDs / game
3.3
46.8
3rd-down %
39.7
55.6
RZ TD %
66.7
-0.5
Turnover margin
0.3
2.0
Sacks / game
1.0
4.3
TFL / game
4.3
9.8
Havoc / game
10.0
53.5 / 46.5
Pass / Rush split
48.1 / 51.9
2026 · Situational matchup
When Arkansas has the ball
Arkansas's early-down offense ranks 130th of 138. Texas A&M's early-down defense ranks 75th of 138.
Arkansas's passing-down offense ranks 81st of 138. Texas A&M's passing-down defense ranks 36th of 138.
Arkansas's third-down offense ranks 31st of 138. Texas A&M's third-down defense ranks 31st of 138.
Arkansas's red-zone offense ranks 100th of 138. Texas A&M's red-zone defense ranks 103rd of 138.
When Texas A&M has the ball
Texas A&M's early-down offense ranks 123rd of 138. Arkansas's early-down defense ranks 39th of 138.
Texas A&M's passing-down offense ranks 84th of 138. Arkansas's passing-down defense ranks 65th of 138.
Texas A&M's third-down offense ranks 81st of 138. Arkansas's third-down defense ranks 126th of 138.
Texas A&M's red-zone offense ranks 62nd of 138. Arkansas's red-zone defense ranks 125th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.191 last 3 vs -0.171 season)
▼Defense form0.111 last 3 vs 0.010 season (+0.101)
Offense formabout the same(-0.153 last 3 vs -0.121 season)
▼Defense form0.088 last 3 vs -0.123 season (+0.211)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKJ Jackson — 927 yd, 5 TD
RushingBraylen Russell — 96 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingChris Marshall — 473 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMarcel Reed — 738 yd, 6 TD
RushingRueben Owens II — 248 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingMario Craver — 225 yd, 2 TD