Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM ET· Memorial Stadium· Indiana -9.5 · O/U 52
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 550 mi / 0 miForecast: 72°F · wind 19 mph · Clear
Market context
Indiana -9.5 · O/U 52
opened Indiana -8.5, now Indiana -9.5 · total opened 50.5, now 52
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Indiana as road favorite
2026 overall: 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 8-3 ATS (11 games) · 8-2 O/U (10 games)
Nebraska as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 6-7 ATS (13 games) · 5-8 O/U (13 games)
2026 · TraditionalNebraska · 4 of 9
489.6
Yards / game
475.6
4.08
Points / drive
3.92
5.6
TDs / game
5.6
51.9
3rd-down %
52.4
78.3
RZ TD %
86.4
0.4
Turnover margin
1.2
3.0
Sacks / game
3.2
8.2
TFL / game
6.2
14.2
Havoc / game
14.2
37.0 / 63.0
Pass / Rush split
44.1 / 55.9
2026 · Situational matchup
When Indiana has the ball
Indiana's early-down offense ranks 10th of 138. Nebraska's early-down defense ranks 34th of 138.
Indiana's passing-down offense ranks 46th of 138. Nebraska's passing-down defense ranks 2nd of 138.
Indiana's third-down offense ranks 16th of 138. Nebraska's third-down defense ranks 1st of 138.
Indiana's red-zone offense ranks 59th of 138. Nebraska's red-zone defense ranks 38th of 138.
When Nebraska has the ball
Nebraska's early-down offense ranks 25th of 138. Indiana's early-down defense ranks 44th of 138.
Nebraska's passing-down offense ranks 7th of 138. Indiana's passing-down defense ranks 96th of 138.
Nebraska's third-down offense ranks 8th of 138. Indiana's third-down defense ranks 37th of 138.
Nebraska's red-zone offense ranks 10th of 138. Indiana's red-zone defense ranks 115th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Indiana offense
10thof 1380.235179 plays
vs
Nebraska defense · allowed
34thof 138-0.103Indiana defense · allowed
44thof 138-0.080vs
Nebraska offense
25thof 1380.132240 plays
Passing downs
Indiana offense
46thof 1380.13886 plays
vs
Nebraska defense · allowed
2ndof 138-0.409122 plays
Indiana defense · allowed
96thof 1380.079116 plays
vs
Nebraska offense
7thof 1380.356112 plays
Third down
Indiana offense
16thof 1380.35654 plays · small sample
vs
Nebraska defense · allowed
1stof 138-0.67262 plays
Indiana defense · allowed
37thof 138-0.12969 plays
vs
Nebraska offense
8thof 1380.51864 plays
Red zone
Indiana offense
59thof 1380.08974 plays
vs
Nebraska defense · allowed
38thof 138-0.21427 plays · small sample
Indiana defense · allowed
115thof 1380.23429 plays · small sample
vs
Nebraska offense
10thof 1380.37161 plays
Field advancement
Indiana offense
2ndof 13869.7%vs
Nebraska defense · allowed
22ndof 13832.0%Indiana defense · allowed
5thof 13828.1%vs
Nebraska offense
10thof 13862.3%Indiana Offense vs Nebraska DefenseIndiana · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.33#12
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#290.18
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.248#5
225 plays
EPA/Play
#10-0.212
allowed · 235 plays
0.372#5
98 plays
EPA/Pass
#12-0.282
allowed · 115 plays
0.153#24
127 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#29-0.145
allowed · 120 plays
51.1%#21
225 plays
Success Rate
#837.9%
allowed · 235 plays
59.2%#4
Pass Success Rate
#3538.8%
allowed
44.9%#108
Rush Success Rate
#837.3%
allowed
69.7%#2
Available Yards %
#2232.0%
allowed
66.5#17
Net Field Position
#6971.5
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.235#10
179 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#34-0.103
allowed
6.4#35
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#377.7
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Indiana Defense vs Nebraska OffenseNebraska · 6 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.24#19
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#100.34
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.126#28
allowed · 217 plays
EPA/Play
#130.210
305 plays
-0.105#51
allowed · 110 plays
EPA/Pass
#370.131
136 plays
-0.147#27
allowed · 107 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#40.273
169 plays
40.1%#21
allowed · 217 plays
Success Rate
#954.4%
305 plays
38.2%#33
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#3549.3%
37.2%#6
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#658.6%
28.1%#5
allowed
Available Yards %
#1062.3%
75.0#14
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#5469.5
-0.080#44
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#250.132
240 plays
8.1#24
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#717.0
2026 · Situational EPANebraska · 5 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.250
233 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.198
307 plays
-0.131
223 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.195
233 plays
0.089
74 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.371
61 plays
0.234
29 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.214
27 plays · small sample
0.356
54 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Off
0.518
64 plays
-0.129
69 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.672
62 plays