Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET· Michigan Stadium· Indiana -7 · O/U 41.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 258 mi / 0 miForecast: 61°F · wind 5 mph · Clear
Market context
Indiana -7 · O/U 41.5
total opened 42, now 41.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Indiana as road favorite
2026 overall: 1-6 ATS (7 games) · 3-4 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 8-4 ATS (12 games) · 8-3 O/U (11 games)
Michigan as home underdog
2026 overall: 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 1-5 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 4-4-1 O/U (9 games)
2026 · TraditionalIndiana · 9 of 9
449.3
Yards / game
313.3
3.10
Points / drive
1.89
4.6
TDs / game
2.7
46.3
3rd-down %
40.8
74.1
RZ TD %
66.7
0.4
Turnover margin
-0.5
3.4
Sacks / game
2.5
7.9
TFL / game
6.5
15.4
Havoc / game
12.2
41.7 / 58.3
Pass / Rush split
39.0 / 61.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Indiana has the ball
Indiana's early-down offense ranks 14th of 138. Michigan's early-down defense ranks 24th of 138.
Indiana's passing-down offense ranks 83rd of 138. Michigan's passing-down defense ranks 11th of 138.
Indiana's third-down offense ranks 40th of 138. Michigan's third-down defense ranks 7th of 138.
Indiana's red-zone offense ranks 49th of 138. Michigan's red-zone defense ranks 37th of 138.
When Michigan has the ball
Michigan's early-down offense ranks 103rd of 138. Indiana's early-down defense ranks 21st of 138.
Michigan's passing-down offense ranks 80th of 138. Indiana's passing-down defense ranks 88th of 138.
Michigan's third-down offense ranks 96th of 138. Indiana's third-down defense ranks 53rd of 138.
Michigan's red-zone offense ranks 13th of 138. Indiana's red-zone defense ranks 85th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Indiana offense
14thof 1380.159263 plays
vs
Michigan defense · allowed
24thof 138-0.117275 plays
Indiana defense · allowed
21stof 138-0.122vs
Michigan offense
103rdof 138-0.065260 plays
Passing downs
Indiana offense
83rdof 138-0.007128 plays
vs
Michigan defense · allowed
11thof 138-0.219135 plays
Indiana defense · allowed
88thof 1380.061173 plays
vs
Michigan offense
80thof 138-0.001115 plays
Third down
Indiana offense
40thof 1380.19580 plays
vs
Michigan defense · allowed
7thof 138-0.29784 plays
Indiana defense · allowed
53rdof 138-0.036103 plays
vs
Michigan offense
96thof 138-0.05671 plays
Red zone
Indiana offense
49thof 1380.07083 plays
vs
Michigan defense · allowed
37thof 138-0.18830 plays · small sample
Indiana defense · allowed
85thof 1380.02647 plays · small sample
vs
Michigan offense
13thof 1380.27138 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Indiana offense
11thof 13860.8%vs
Michigan defense · allowed
18thof 13834.5%Indiana defense · allowed
11thof 13832.1%vs
Michigan offense
116thof 13840.4%Indiana Offense vs Michigan DefenseIndiana · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.25#19
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#220.24
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.143#24
338 plays
EPA/Play
#10-0.178
allowed · 359 plays
0.238#15
160 plays
EPA/Pass
#17-0.211
allowed · 167 plays
0.057#55
178 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#18-0.149
allowed · 192 plays
47.3%#62
338 plays
Success Rate
#4042.9%
allowed · 359 plays
51.9%#26
Pass Success Rate
#3339.9%
allowed
43.3%#121
Rush Success Rate
#5745.8%
allowed
60.8%#11
Available Yards %
#1834.5%
allowed
68.8#36
Net Field Position
#6871.5
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.159#14
263 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#24-0.117
allowed · 275 plays
6.6#42
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#797.0
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Indiana Defense vs Michigan OffenseIndiana · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.36#6
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#101-0.15
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.097#31
allowed · 368 plays
EPA/Play
#104-0.063
335 plays
-0.073#49
allowed · 185 plays
EPA/Pass
#111-0.125
133 plays
-0.122#26
allowed · 183 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#92-0.022
202 plays
42.1%#34
allowed · 368 plays
Success Rate
#11343.6%
335 plays
41.3%#51
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#9942.1%
39.2%#10
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#11244.6%
32.1%#11
allowed
Available Yards %
#11640.4%
74.3#18
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#7470.8
-0.122#21
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#103-0.065
260 plays
7.9#21
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#466.6
2026 · Situational EPAMichigan · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.147
346 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.063
335 plays
-0.101
374 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.178
359 plays
0.070
83 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.271
38 plays · small sample
0.026
47 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.188
30 plays · small sample
0.195
80 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.056
71 plays
-0.036
103 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.297
84 plays