Sat, Nov 14, 1:00 PM ET· Brooks Stadium· Coastal Carolina -1.5 · O/U 51
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 676 mi / 0 miForecast: 55°F · wind 13 mph · Clear
Market context
Coastal Carolina -1.5 · O/U 51
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Arkansas State as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 21-15 ATS (36 games) · 15-21 O/U (36 games)
Coastal Carolina as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 9-16 ATS (25 games) · 12-12-1 O/U (25 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalArkansas State · 6 of 9
371.6
Yards / game
368.3
2.45
Points / drive
1.94
3.2
TDs / game
2.9
44.2
3rd-down %
32.7
65.7
RZ TD %
54.5
0.6
Turnover margin
-0.3
0.7
Sacks / game
2.2
3.8
TFL / game
5.2
7.8
Havoc / game
12.0
47.5 / 52.5
Pass / Rush split
48.0 / 52.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Arkansas State has the ball
Arkansas State's early-down offense ranks 57th of 138. Coastal Carolina's early-down defense ranks 64th of 138.
Arkansas State's passing-down offense ranks 113th of 138. Coastal Carolina's passing-down defense ranks 34th of 138.
Arkansas State's third-down offense ranks 46th of 138. Coastal Carolina's third-down defense ranks 86th of 138.
Arkansas State's red-zone offense ranks 49th of 138. Coastal Carolina's red-zone defense ranks 47th of 138.
When Coastal Carolina has the ball
Coastal Carolina's early-down offense ranks 95th of 138. Arkansas State's early-down defense ranks 100th of 138.
Coastal Carolina's passing-down offense ranks 116th of 138. Arkansas State's passing-down defense ranks 43rd of 138.
Coastal Carolina's third-down offense ranks 126th of 138. Arkansas State's third-down defense ranks 83rd of 138.
Coastal Carolina's red-zone offense ranks 133rd of 138. Arkansas State's red-zone defense ranks 126th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.035 last 3 vs 0.029 season)
Defense formabout the same(0.024 last 3 vs 0.038 season)
▼Offense form-0.112 last 3 vs -0.050 season (-0.062)
Defense formabout the same(-0.076 last 3 vs -0.036 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingTrey Owens — 2133 yd, 12 TD
RushingSolomon Baggett — 344 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingJaylen Bonelli — 518 yd, 3 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDeuce Bailey — 2178 yd, 19 TD
RushingDominic Lee-Knicely — 498 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingClayton Coppock — 408 yd, 5 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Arkansas State offense
57thof 1380.035413 plays
vs
Coastal Carolina defense · allowed
64thof 138-0.026Arkansas State defense · allowed
100thof 1380.039vs
Coastal Carolina offense
95thof 138-0.033434 plays
Passing downs
Arkansas State offense
113thof 138-0.113166 plays
vs
Coastal Carolina defense · allowed
34thof 138-0.095185 plays
Arkansas State defense · allowed
43rdof 138-0.081174 plays
vs
Coastal Carolina offense
116thof 138-0.122220 plays
Third down
Arkansas State offense
46thof 1380.138106 plays
vs
Coastal Carolina defense · allowed
86thof 1380.101124 plays
Arkansas State defense · allowed
83rdof 1380.089113 plays
vs
Coastal Carolina offense
126thof 138-0.187114 plays
Red zone
Arkansas State offense
49thof 1380.05585 plays
vs
Coastal Carolina defense · allowed
47thof 138-0.11281 plays
Arkansas State defense · allowed
126thof 1380.23684 plays
vs
Coastal Carolina offense
133rdof 138-0.42355 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Arkansas State offense
34thof 13852.4%vs
Coastal Carolina defense · allowed
69thof 13843.7%Arkansas State defense · allowed
113thof 13849.8%vs
Coastal Carolina offense
105thof 13841.7%Away
Home
Arkansas State Offense vs Coastal Carolina DefenseArkansas State · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.02#68
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#490.08
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.039#55
526 plays
EPA/Play
#66-0.015
allowed · 561 plays
0.096#35
257 plays
EPA/Pass
#990.061
allowed · 233 plays
-0.016#86
269 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#39-0.069
allowed · 328 plays
49.8%#28
526 plays
Success Rate
#8546.7%
allowed · 561 plays
50.2%#23
Pass Success Rate
#13250.4%
allowed
49.4%#58
Rush Success Rate
#3944.7%
allowed
52.4%#34
Available Yards %
#6943.7%
allowed
69.9#54
Net Field Position
#9370.4
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.035#57
413 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#64-0.026
allowed
6.5#32
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1146.6
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Arkansas State Defense vs Coastal Carolina OffenseCoastal Carolina · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.20#112
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#97-0.16
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.065#108
allowed · 542 plays
EPA/Play
#102-0.062
559 plays
-0.072#53
allowed · 208 plays
EPA/Pass
#680.007
274 plays
0.150#130
allowed · 334 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#123-0.129
285 plays
47.2%#95
allowed · 542 plays
Success Rate
#9045.3%
559 plays
41.9%#51
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#8643.1%
50.0%#111
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#8147.4%
49.8%#113
allowed
Available Yards %
#10541.7%
71.6#59
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#7070.4
0.039#100
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#95-0.033
434 plays
5.9#136
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1388.3
2026 · Situational EPAArkansas State · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.040
521 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.064
565 plays
0.075
540 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.006
578 plays
0.055
85 plays
Red Zone · Off
-0.423
55 plays · small sample
0.236
84 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.112
81 plays
0.138
106 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.187
114 plays
0.089
113 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.101
124 plays