Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET· Joan C. Edwards Stadium· App State -2 · O/U 53.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 158 mi / 0 miForecast: 39°F · wind 6 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
App State -2 · O/U 53.5
opened App State -1.5, now App State -2
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
App State as road favorite
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 5-4 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 8-13 ATS (21 games) · 10-10-1 O/U (21 games)
Marshall as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-6 ATS (9 games) · 5-4 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-0 ATS (3 games) · 3-0 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 7-3 ATS (10 games) · 6-4 O/U (10 games)
2026 · TraditionalApp State · 7 of 9
386.0
Yards / game
390.8
1.98
Points / drive
1.78
3.1
TDs / game
2.4
34.8
3rd-down %
36.1
64.9
RZ TD %
40.0
-0.1
Turnover margin
-0.8
1.3
Sacks / game
1.2
5.2
TFL / game
5.0
11.7
Havoc / game
11.3
51.2 / 48.8
Pass / Rush split
45.5 / 54.5
2026 · Situational matchup
When App State has the ball
App State's early-down offense ranks 83rd of 138. Marshall's early-down defense ranks 50th of 138.
App State's passing-down offense ranks 126th of 138. Marshall's passing-down defense ranks 85th of 138.
App State's third-down offense ranks 99th of 138. Marshall's third-down defense ranks 94th of 138.
App State's red-zone offense ranks 20th of 138. Marshall's red-zone defense ranks 67th of 138.
When Marshall has the ball
Marshall's early-down offense ranks 105th of 138. App State's early-down defense ranks 63rd of 138.
Marshall's passing-down offense ranks 76th of 138. App State's passing-down defense ranks 52nd of 138.
Marshall's third-down offense ranks 115th of 138. App State's third-down defense ranks 36th of 138.
Marshall's red-zone offense ranks 134th of 138. App State's red-zone defense ranks 123rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMalachi Singleton — 2156 yd, 11 TD
RushingJaquari Lewis — 462 yd, 8 TD
ReceivingSam Pickett III — 590 yd, 4 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCarlos Del Rio-Wilson — 1107 yd, 6 TD
RushingJudah Price — 358 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingXayvion Turner-Bradshaw — 397 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
App State offense
83rdof 138-0.015435 plays
vs
Marshall defense · allowed
50thof 138-0.043App State defense · allowed
63rdof 138-0.029vs
Marshall offense
105thof 138-0.081456 plays
Passing downs
App State offense
126thof 138-0.175209 plays
vs
Marshall defense · allowed
85thof 1380.014210 plays
App State defense · allowed
52ndof 138-0.063219 plays
vs
Marshall offense
76thof 138-0.033210 plays
Third down
App State offense
99thof 138-0.062117 plays
vs
Marshall defense · allowed
94thof 1380.117122 plays
App State defense · allowed
36thof 138-0.113132 plays
vs
Marshall offense
115thof 138-0.142120 plays
Red zone
App State offense
20thof 1380.21982 plays
vs
Marshall defense · allowed
67thof 138-0.01675 plays
App State defense · allowed
123rdof 1380.20185 plays
vs
Marshall offense
134thof 138-0.45499 plays
Field advancement
App State offense
94thof 13843.9%vs
Marshall defense · allowed
118thof 13851.3%App State defense · allowed
59thof 13842.3%vs
Marshall offense
95thof 13843.6%App State Offense vs Marshall DefenseApp State · 6 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.11#91
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#108-0.18
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.043#92
564 plays
EPA/Play
#860.020
allowed · 549 plays
0.052#51
291 plays
EPA/Pass
#820.005
allowed · 278 plays
-0.144#125
273 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#890.037
allowed · 271 plays
46.1%#78
564 plays
Success Rate
#6145.0%
allowed · 549 plays
47.8%#41
Pass Success Rate
#7743.2%
allowed
44.3%#113
Rush Success Rate
#8447.8%
allowed
43.9%#94
Available Yards %
#11851.3%
allowed
70.3#67
Net Field Position
#10070.1
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.015#83
435 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#50-0.043
allowed
7.1#81
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#836.9
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
App State Defense vs Marshall OffenseApp State · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.04#64
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#116-0.26
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.036#57
allowed · 596 plays
EPA/Play
#116-0.092
573 plays
-0.109#36
allowed · 277 plays
EPA/Pass
#120-0.178
267 plays
0.027#84
allowed · 319 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#88-0.017
306 plays
45.1%#65
allowed · 596 plays
Success Rate
#9544.9%
573 plays
42.2%#59
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#10840.4%
46.7%#67
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#6448.7%
42.3%#59
allowed
Available Yards %
#9543.6%
70.4#92
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#8070.8
-0.029#63
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#105-0.081
456 plays
6.8#90
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#967.3
2026 · Situational EPAApp State · 5 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.043
564 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.073
569 plays
-0.036
597 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.009
541 plays
0.219
82 plays
Red Zone · Off
-0.454
99 plays
0.201
85 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.016
75 plays
-0.062
117 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.142
120 plays
-0.113
132 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.117
122 plays