Sat, Oct 10, 7:30 PM ET· Bryant-Denny Stadium· Georgia -2 · O/U 56.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 246 mi / 0 miForecast: 71°F · wind 17 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Georgia -2 · O/U 56.5
opened Georgia -2.5, now Georgia -2 · total opened 55.5, now 56.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Georgia as road favorite
2026 overall: 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 5-0 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 18-16 ATS (34 games) · 14-18-2 O/U (34 games)
Alabama as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 5-0 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
2026 · TraditionalGeorgia · 6 of 9
478.8
Yards / game
473.8
4.94
Points / drive
4.45
6.4
TDs / game
5.6
54.9
3rd-down %
49.1
85.7
RZ TD %
84.6
1.2
Turnover margin
1.4
2.6
Sacks / game
3.2
6.4
TFL / game
6.0
14.6
Havoc / game
15.6
45.7 / 54.3
Pass / Rush split
41.5 / 58.5
2026 · Situational matchup
When Georgia has the ball
Georgia's early-down offense ranks 8th of 138. Alabama's early-down defense ranks 18th of 138.
Georgia's passing-down offense ranks 59th of 138. Alabama's passing-down defense ranks 36th of 138.
Georgia's third-down offense ranks 40th of 138. Alabama's third-down defense ranks 29th of 138.
Georgia's red-zone offense ranks 4th of 138. Alabama's red-zone defense ranks 132nd of 138.
When Alabama has the ball
Alabama's early-down offense ranks 7th of 138. Georgia's early-down defense ranks 6th of 138.
Alabama's passing-down offense ranks 1st of 138. Georgia's passing-down defense ranks 40th of 138.
Alabama's third-down offense ranks 2nd of 138. Georgia's third-down defense ranks 81st of 138.
Alabama's red-zone offense ranks 3rd of 138. Georgia's red-zone defense ranks 137th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Georgia offense
8thof 1380.239155 plays
vs
Alabama defense · allowed
18thof 138-0.169166 plays
Georgia defense · allowed
6thof 138-0.274vs
Alabama offense
7thof 1380.240209 plays
Passing downs
Georgia offense
59thof 1380.07778 plays
vs
Alabama defense · allowed
36thof 138-0.135115 plays
Georgia defense · allowed
40thof 138-0.116125 plays
vs
Alabama offense
1stof 1380.50396 plays
Third down
Georgia offense
40thof 1380.23051 plays · small sample
vs
Alabama defense · allowed
29thof 138-0.18769 plays
Georgia defense · allowed
81stof 1380.04374 plays
vs
Alabama offense
2ndof 1380.59457 plays · small sample
Red zone
Georgia offense
4thof 1380.40060 plays
vs
Alabama defense · allowed
132ndof 1380.41536 plays · small sample
Georgia defense · allowed
137thof 1380.58520 plays · small sample
vs
Alabama offense
3rdof 1380.40962 plays
Field advancement
Georgia offense
24thof 13858.2%vs
Alabama defense · allowed
30thof 13834.4%Georgia defense · allowed
3rdof 13827.2%vs
Alabama offense
15thof 13861.3%Georgia Offense vs Alabama DefenseGeorgia · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.50#3
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#210.23
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.301#3
186 plays
EPA/Play
#12-0.187
allowed · 224 plays
0.347#8
91 plays
EPA/Pass
#48-0.109
allowed · 114 plays
0.258#6
95 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#5-0.268
allowed · 110 plays
61.3%#1
186 plays
Success Rate
#3441.1%
allowed · 224 plays
60.4%#3
Pass Success Rate
#6241.8%
allowed
62.1%#1
Rush Success Rate
#1339.0%
allowed
58.2%#24
Available Yards %
#3034.4%
allowed
65.4#10
Net Field Position
#2074.3
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.239#8
155 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#18-0.169
allowed · 166 plays
5.6#5
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#577.4
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Georgia Defense vs Alabama OffenseAlabama · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.26#14
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#10.61
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.299#4
allowed · 147 plays · small sample
EPA/Play
#10.345
256 plays
-0.038#75
allowed · 81 plays
EPA/Pass
#10.592
113 plays
-0.618#1
allowed · 66 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#260.149
143 plays
35.4%#4
allowed · 147 plays · small sample
Success Rate
#360.9%
256 plays
40.9%#54
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#261.9%
44.0%#49
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#260.1%
27.2%#3
allowed
Available Yards %
#1561.3%
72.4#59
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#1866.5
-0.274#6
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#70.240
209 plays
8.6#6
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#957.4
2026 · Situational EPAAlabama · 5 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.193
211 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.298
263 plays
-0.246
186 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.075
254 plays
0.400
60 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.409
62 plays
0.585
20 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.415
36 plays · small sample
0.230
51 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Off
0.594
57 plays · small sample
0.043
74 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.187
69 plays