Fourth Down Data
Georgia State4-2 · Sun Belt@Arkansas State3-4 · Sun Belt
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Sat, Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET· Centennial Bank Stadium· Georgia State -2 · O/U 58.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 385 mi / 0 miForecast: 68°F · wind 5 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Georgia State -2 · O/U 58.5
opened Georgia State -2.5, now Georgia State -2
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Georgia State as road favorite
2026 overall: 5-1 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): none in this role
Since 2020: 5-0 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Arkansas State as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-4 ATS (7 games) · 3-4 O/U (7 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 0-4 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 10-8 ATS (18 games) · 6-12 O/U (18 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalGeorgia State · 8 of 9
452.7
Yards / game
366.0
2.82
Points / drive
2.40
4.5
TDs / game
3.1
47.5
3rd-down %
45.1
72.0
RZ TD %
65.4
-0.7
Turnover margin
0.4
3.2
Sacks / game
0.4
6.3
TFL / game
3.3
15.2
Havoc / game
7.1
43.3 / 56.7
Pass / Rush split
46.5 / 53.5
2026 · Situational matchup
When Georgia State has the ball
Georgia State's early-down offense ranks 37th of 138. Arkansas State's early-down defense ranks 104th of 138.
Georgia State's passing-down offense ranks 9th of 138. Arkansas State's passing-down defense ranks 74th of 138.
Georgia State's third-down offense ranks 34th of 138. Arkansas State's third-down defense ranks 64th of 138.
Georgia State's red-zone offense ranks 17th of 138. Arkansas State's red-zone defense ranks 135th of 138.
When Arkansas State has the ball
Arkansas State's early-down offense ranks 79th of 138. Georgia State's early-down defense ranks 115th of 138.
Arkansas State's passing-down offense ranks 103rd of 138. Georgia State's passing-down defense ranks 35th of 138.
Arkansas State's third-down offense ranks 41st of 138. Georgia State's third-down defense ranks 28th of 138.
Arkansas State's red-zone offense ranks 70th of 138. Georgia State's red-zone defense ranks 32nd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form0.036 last 3 vs 0.122 season (-0.086)
▼Defense form0.072 last 3 vs -0.002 season (+0.074)
▲Offense form0.086 last 3 vs 0.016 season (+0.069)
▼Defense form0.085 last 3 vs 0.008 season (+0.077)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCameran Brown — 1291 yd, 13 TD
RushingLanear McCrary Jr. — 385 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingRodshaun Dorsey — 333 yd, 7 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingTrey Owens — 1631 yd, 9 TD
RushingSolomon Baggett — 287 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingHunter Summers — 422 yd, 3 TD