Thu, Oct 15, 7:30 PM ET· Kornblau Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium· Georgia Southern -3.5 · O/U 50.5
Rest 5d / 5dTravel 439 mi / 0 miForecast: 66°F · wind 13 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Georgia Southern -3.5 · O/U 50.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Georgia Southern as road favorite
2026 overall: 5-1 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 3-8-1 ATS (12 games) · 7-5 O/U (12 games)
Old Dominion as home underdog
2026 overall: 1-5 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): none in this role
Since 2020: 8-7-1 ATS (16 games) · 7-9 O/U (16 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalGeorgia Southern · 6 of 9
395.8
Yards / game
266.0
2.31
Points / drive
1.10
3.2
TDs / game
1.7
41.2
3rd-down %
33.3
63.2
RZ TD %
50.0
0.2
Turnover margin
-0.3
2.3
Sacks / game
2.5
6.0
TFL / game
7.7
12.8
Havoc / game
14.8
59.2 / 40.8
Pass / Rush split
37.2 / 62.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When Georgia Southern has the ball
Georgia Southern's early-down offense ranks 92nd of 138. Old Dominion's early-down defense ranks 17th of 138.
Georgia Southern's passing-down offense ranks 91st of 138. Old Dominion's passing-down defense ranks 36th of 138.
Georgia Southern's third-down offense ranks 43rd of 138. Old Dominion's third-down defense ranks 29th of 138.
Georgia Southern's red-zone offense ranks 39th of 138. Old Dominion's red-zone defense ranks 66th of 138.
When Old Dominion has the ball
Old Dominion's early-down offense ranks 136th of 138. Georgia Southern's early-down defense ranks 73rd of 138.
Old Dominion's passing-down offense ranks 67th of 138. Georgia Southern's passing-down defense ranks 34th of 138.
Old Dominion's third-down offense ranks 85th of 138. Georgia Southern's third-down defense ranks 21st of 138.
Old Dominion's red-zone offense ranks 111th of 138. Georgia Southern's red-zone defense ranks 58th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.191 last 3 vs 0.058 season (+0.132)
▼Defense form0.152 last 3 vs -0.064 season (+0.216)
▲Offense form-0.214 last 3 vs -0.297 season (+0.083)
Defense formabout the same(-0.146 last 3 vs -0.139 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMax Johnson — 1572 yd, 11 TD
RushingDavid Mbadinga — 233 yd, 0 TD
ReceivingJosh Dallas — 290 yd, 0 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingQuinn Henicle — 570 yd, 3 TD
RushingDevin Roche — 348 yd, 0 TD
ReceivingTJ Johnson — 179 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Georgia Southern offense
92ndof 138-0.033290 plays
vs
Old Dominion defense · allowed
17thof 138-0.149Georgia Southern defense · allowed
73rdof 138-0.008vs
Old Dominion offense
136thof 138-0.244241 plays
Passing downs
Georgia Southern offense
91stof 138-0.047131 plays
vs
Old Dominion defense · allowed
36thof 138-0.130163 plays
Georgia Southern defense · allowed
34thof 138-0.132137 plays
vs
Old Dominion offense
67thof 1380.053160 plays
Third down
Georgia Southern offense
43rdof 1380.20685 plays
vs
Old Dominion defense · allowed
29thof 138-0.16294 plays
Georgia Southern defense · allowed
21stof 138-0.22481 plays
vs
Old Dominion offense
85thof 1380.00390 plays
Red zone
Georgia Southern offense
39thof 1380.15653 plays · small sample
vs
Old Dominion defense · allowed
66thof 138-0.06761 plays
Georgia Southern defense · allowed
58thof 138-0.09657 plays · small sample
vs
Old Dominion offense
111thof 138-0.14944 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Georgia Southern offense
76thof 13847.9%vs
Old Dominion defense · allowed
43rdof 13837.9%Georgia Southern defense · allowed
63rdof 13842.0%vs
Old Dominion offense
138thof 13827.9%Away
Home
Georgia Southern Offense vs Old Dominion DefenseOld Dominion · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.01#68
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#640.02
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.055#55
380 plays
EPA/Play
#17-0.165
allowed · 337 plays
0.086#44
226 plays
EPA/Pass
#15-0.265
allowed · 145 plays
0.009#79
154 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#41-0.090
allowed · 192 plays
47.4%#63
380 plays
Success Rate
#1940.4%
allowed · 337 plays
48.7%#37
Pass Success Rate
#1036.5%
allowed
45.5%#101
Rush Success Rate
#2140.8%
allowed
47.9%#76
Available Yards %
#4337.9%
allowed
73.8#128
Net Field Position
#13666.2
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.033#92
290 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#17-0.149
allowed
6.2#20
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#677.3
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Georgia Southern Defense vs Old Dominion OffenseGeorgia Southern · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.03#63
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#138-0.47
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.019#69
allowed · 362 plays
EPA/Play
#137-0.256
318 plays
-0.039#69
allowed · 153 plays
EPA/Pass
#118-0.180
114 plays
-0.005#72
allowed · 209 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#138-0.298
204 plays
45.9%#80
allowed · 362 plays
Success Rate
#13736.5%
318 plays
40.7%#51
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#13135.1%
48.6%#99
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#13737.3%
42.0%#63
allowed
Available Yards %
#13827.9%
70.7#85
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#9271.8
-0.008#73
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#136-0.244
241 plays
7.4#55
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1117.6
2026 · Situational EPAGeorgia Southern · 5 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.038
368 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.237
315 plays
-0.019
362 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.159
331 plays
0.156
53 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
-0.149
44 plays · small sample
-0.096
57 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.067
61 plays
0.206
85 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.003
90 plays
-0.225
81 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.162
94 plays