Fourth Down Data
Georgia Southern5-4 · Sun Belt@Georgia State5-4 · Sun Belt
Share →
Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET· Center Parc Stadium· Georgia Southern -5.5 · O/U 56.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 176 mi / 0 miForecast: 49°F · wind 12 mph · Clear
Market context
Georgia Southern -5.5 · O/U 56.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Georgia Southern as road favorite
2026 overall: 8-1 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road favorite: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 4-8-1 ATS (13 games) · 7-6 O/U (13 games)
Georgia State as home underdog
2026 overall: 6-3 ATS (9 games) · 6-3 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 4-8-1 ATS (13 games) · 8-5 O/U (13 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalGeorgia State · 8 of 9
407.4
Yards / game
431.7
2.34
Points / drive
2.62
3.1
TDs / game
4.0
40.5
3rd-down %
44.3
54.5
RZ TD %
63.2
0.8
Turnover margin
-0.1
2.6
Sacks / game
3.2
5.9
TFL / game
6.3
14.0
Havoc / game
15.8
57.4 / 42.6
Pass / Rush split
42.8 / 57.2
2026 · Situational matchup
When Georgia Southern has the ball
Georgia Southern's early-down offense ranks 67th of 138. Georgia State's early-down defense ranks 106th of 138.
Georgia Southern's passing-down offense ranks 84th of 138. Georgia State's passing-down defense ranks 14th of 138.
Georgia Southern's third-down offense ranks 75th of 138. Georgia State's third-down defense ranks 30th of 138.
Georgia Southern's red-zone offense ranks 58th of 138. Georgia State's red-zone defense ranks 35th of 138.
When Georgia State has the ball
Georgia State's early-down offense ranks 55th of 138. Georgia Southern's early-down defense ranks 55th of 138.
Georgia State's passing-down offense ranks 28th of 138. Georgia Southern's passing-down defense ranks 29th of 138.
Georgia State's third-down offense ranks 26th of 138. Georgia Southern's third-down defense ranks 10th of 138.
Georgia State's red-zone offense ranks 28th of 138. Georgia Southern's red-zone defense ranks 16th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.044 last 3 vs 0.053 season)
▲Defense form-0.207 last 3 vs -0.112 season (-0.095)
▼Offense form0.025 last 3 vs 0.089 season (-0.064)
Defense formabout the same(-0.017 last 3 vs -0.007 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMax Johnson — 2195 yd, 15 TD
RushingDavid Mbadinga — 273 yd, 0 TD
ReceivingAlex Taylor — 529 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCameran Brown — 1356 yd, 14 TD
RushingLanear McCrary Jr. — 526 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingRodshaun Dorsey — 476 yd, 9 TD