Fourth Down Data
#16Florida4-2 · SEC@#1Texas4-1 · SEC
Share →
Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 PM ET· Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium· Texas -10 · O/U 53.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 921 mi / 0 miForecast: 68°F · wind 16 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Texas -10 · O/U 53.5
opened Texas -9, now Texas -10
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Florida as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 10-9 ATS (19 games) · 14-5 O/U (19 games)
Texas as home favorite
2026 overall: 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 4-2-1 ATS (7 games) · 4-3 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 24-19-1 ATS (44 games) · 20-24 O/U (44 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalFlorida · 6 of 9
473.8
Yards / game
379.2
3.62
Points / drive
2.33
5.0
TDs / game
3.6
45.8
3rd-down %
44.6
75.9
RZ TD %
66.7
0.2
Turnover margin
-0.4
2.8
Sacks / game
3.6
7.0
TFL / game
8.0
16.3
Havoc / game
16.6
42.7 / 57.3
Pass / Rush split
44.4 / 55.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When Florida has the ball
Florida's early-down offense ranks 31st of 138. Texas's early-down defense ranks 11th of 138.
Florida's passing-down offense ranks 52nd of 138. Texas's passing-down defense ranks 16th of 138.
Florida's third-down offense ranks 40th of 138. Texas's third-down defense ranks 78th of 138.
Florida's red-zone offense ranks 62nd of 138. Texas's red-zone defense ranks 22nd of 138.
When Texas has the ball
Texas's early-down offense ranks 116th of 138. Florida's early-down defense ranks 80th of 138.
Texas's passing-down offense ranks 55th of 138. Florida's passing-down defense ranks 129th of 138.
Texas's third-down offense ranks 52nd of 138. Florida's third-down defense ranks 135th of 138.
Texas's red-zone offense ranks 61st of 138. Florida's red-zone defense ranks 119th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.038 last 3 vs 0.157 season (-0.195)
▼Defense form0.232 last 3 vs 0.107 season (+0.125)
▼Offense form-0.143 last 3 vs -0.037 season (-0.106)
▲Defense form-0.331 last 3 vs -0.183 season (-0.148)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAaron Philo — 1341 yd, 9 TD
RushingJadan Baugh — 672 yd, 12 TD
ReceivingDallas Wilson — 376 yd, 3 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingArch Manning — 1122 yd, 10 TD
RushingHollywood Smothers — 237 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingCam Coleman — 318 yd, 5 TD