Fourth Down Data
Florida5-4 · SEC@#13Kentucky7-2 · SEC
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Sat, Nov 14, 6:15 PM ET· Kroger Field· Kentucky -3 · O/U 51.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 592 mi / 0 miForecast: 39°F · wind 7 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Kentucky -3 · O/U 51.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Florida as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 4-4-1 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 11-10 ATS (21 games) · 14-6-1 O/U (21 games)
Kentucky as home favorite
2026 overall: 6-2 ATS (8 games) · 5-3 O/U (8 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 17-14 ATS (31 games) · 16-15 O/U (31 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalFlorida · 8 of 9
400.6
Yards / game
383.6
2.61
Points / drive
2.51
3.9
TDs / game
3.3
42.0
3rd-down %
34.9
73.0
RZ TD %
62.5
-0.3
Turnover margin
1.1
2.7
Sacks / game
2.4
6.9
TFL / game
5.1
15.3
Havoc / game
14.2
44.2 / 55.8
Pass / Rush split
46.0 / 54.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Florida has the ball
Florida's early-down offense ranks 93rd of 138. Kentucky's early-down defense ranks 38th of 138.
Florida's passing-down offense ranks 53rd of 138. Kentucky's passing-down defense ranks 124th of 138.
Florida's third-down offense ranks 38th of 138. Kentucky's third-down defense ranks 113th of 138.
Florida's red-zone offense ranks 50th of 138. Kentucky's red-zone defense ranks 90th of 138.
When Kentucky has the ball
Kentucky's early-down offense ranks 19th of 138. Florida's early-down defense ranks 81st of 138.
Kentucky's passing-down offense ranks 85th of 138. Florida's passing-down defense ranks 128th of 138.
Kentucky's third-down offense ranks 133rd of 138. Florida's third-down defense ranks 128th of 138.
Kentucky's red-zone offense ranks 67th of 138. Florida's red-zone defense ranks 89th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.297 last 3 vs 0.006 season (-0.303)
▲Defense form-0.073 last 3 vs 0.047 season (-0.120)
▼Offense form-0.031 last 3 vs 0.029 season (-0.060)
Defense formabout the same(-0.032 last 3 vs -0.010 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAaron Philo — 1367 yd, 9 TD
RushingJadan Baugh — 836 yd, 14 TD
ReceivingDallas Wilson — 465 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKenny Minchey — 1979 yd, 14 TD
RushingCJ Baxter — 541 yd, 8 TD
ReceivingKenny Darby — 576 yd, 3 TD