Fri, Nov 13, 7:00 PM ET· Acrisure Stadium· Pittsburgh -3.5 · O/U 54
Rest 6d / 13dTravel 732 mi / 0 miForecast: 37°F · wind 13 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Pittsburgh -3.5 · O/U 54
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Florida State as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-4-1 ATS (9 games) · 5-4 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 3-0 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 7-12-1 ATS (20 games) · 10-9-1 O/U (20 games)
Pittsburgh as home favorite
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 1-5 O/U (6 games)
Last season (2025): 4-0 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 18-14-1 ATS (33 games) · 17-16 O/U (33 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalPittsburgh · 5 of 9
410.6
Yards / game
446.1
2.69
Points / drive
2.41
4.0
TDs / game
3.9
41.2
3rd-down %
40.8
69.4
RZ TD %
55.6
-0.8
Turnover margin
0.2
2.7
Sacks / game
2.8
5.9
TFL / game
6.8
13.2
Havoc / game
14.2
41.9 / 58.1
Pass / Rush split
48.6 / 51.4
2026 · Situational matchup
When Florida State has the ball
Florida State's early-down offense ranks 23rd of 138. Pittsburgh's early-down defense ranks 20th of 138.
Florida State's passing-down offense ranks 7th of 138. Pittsburgh's passing-down defense ranks 67th of 138.
Florida State's third-down offense ranks 37th of 138. Pittsburgh's third-down defense ranks 65th of 138.
Florida State's red-zone offense ranks 36th of 138. Pittsburgh's red-zone defense ranks 32nd of 138.
When Pittsburgh has the ball
Pittsburgh's early-down offense ranks 74th of 138. Florida State's early-down defense ranks 92nd of 138.
Pittsburgh's passing-down offense ranks 82nd of 138. Florida State's passing-down defense ranks 88th of 138.
Pittsburgh's third-down offense ranks 82nd of 138. Florida State's third-down defense ranks 137th of 138.
Pittsburgh's red-zone offense ranks 92nd of 138. Florida State's red-zone defense ranks 79th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.064 last 3 vs 0.114 season)
▲Defense form0.017 last 3 vs 0.110 season (-0.093)
▼Offense form-0.155 last 3 vs 0.006 season (-0.161)
Defense formabout the same(-0.081 last 3 vs -0.130 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAshton Daniels — 2146 yd, 14 TD
RushingOusmane Kromah — 609 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingMicahi Danzy — 487 yd, 3 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMason Heintschel — 1304 yd, 14 TD
RushingDamon Ferguson Jr. — 662 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingCataurus Hicks — 698 yd, 6 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Florida State offense
23rdof 1380.105431 plays
vs
Pittsburgh defense · allowed
20thof 138-0.118Florida State defense · allowed
92ndof 1380.018vs
Pittsburgh offense
74thof 138-0.001422 plays
Passing downs
Florida State offense
7thof 1380.319183 plays
vs
Pittsburgh defense · allowed
67thof 138-0.022238 plays
Florida State defense · allowed
88thof 1380.035229 plays
vs
Pittsburgh offense
82ndof 138-0.040221 plays
Third down
Florida State offense
37thof 1380.173113 plays
vs
Pittsburgh defense · allowed
65thof 1380.022128 plays
Florida State defense · allowed
137thof 1380.517129 plays
vs
Pittsburgh offense
82ndof 1380.013121 plays
Red zone
Florida State offense
36thof 1380.107114 plays
vs
Pittsburgh defense · allowed
32ndof 138-0.16966 plays
Florida State defense · allowed
79thof 1380.02374 plays
vs
Pittsburgh offense
92ndof 138-0.05389 plays
Field advancement
Florida State offense
55thof 13849.7%vs
Pittsburgh defense · allowed
17thof 13835.4%Florida State defense · allowed
114thof 13850.5%vs
Pittsburgh offense
43rdof 13851.0%Away
Home
Florida State Offense vs Pittsburgh DefensePittsburgh · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.24#23
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#280.24
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.108#29
557 plays
EPA/Play
#28-0.103
allowed · 491 plays
0.101#33
236 plays
EPA/Pass
#960.050
allowed · 263 plays
0.113#30
321 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#5-0.280
allowed · 228 plays
47.6%#46
557 plays
Success Rate
#2141.3%
allowed · 491 plays
44.5%#66
Pass Success Rate
#3740.8%
allowed
49.8%#47
Rush Success Rate
#739.1%
allowed
49.7%#55
Available Yards %
#1735.4%
allowed
71.1#84
Net Field Position
#5072.0
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.105#23
431 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#20-0.118
allowed
6.5#31
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#118.0
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Florida State Defense vs Pittsburgh OffensePittsburgh · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.12#96
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#720.00
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.114#123
allowed · 557 plays
EPA/Play
#77-0.004
543 plays
0.114#118
allowed · 258 plays
EPA/Pass
#86-0.050
254 plays
0.114#118
allowed · 299 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#590.037
289 plays
48.1%#110
allowed · 557 plays
Success Rate
#6746.6%
543 plays
46.4%#106
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#8343.3%
47.6%#81
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#5649.5%
50.5%#114
allowed
Available Yards %
#4351.0%
70.7#85
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#3769.0
0.018#92
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#74-0.001
422 plays
8.2#6
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#857.2
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.102
540 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.004
543 plays
0.119
553 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.103
493 plays
0.107
114 plays
Red Zone · Off
-0.053
89 plays
0.023
74 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.169
66 plays
0.173
113 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.013
121 plays
0.516
129 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.022
128 plays