Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET· Chapman Stadium· Tulsa -5.5 · O/U 74.5
Rest 9d / 7dTravel 1,151 mi / 0 miForecast: 56°F · wind 11 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Tulsa -5.5 · O/U 74.5
total opened 74, now 74.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Florida Atlantic as road underdog
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 8-1 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 3-0 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 11-14 ATS (25 games) · 11-14 O/U (25 games)
Tulsa as home favorite
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 5-4 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 9-12 ATS (21 games) · 12-9 O/U (21 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalTulsa · 5 of 9
453.7
Yards / game
391.1
3.23
Points / drive
2.68
4.7
TDs / game
4.3
51.7
3rd-down %
34.7
67.5
RZ TD %
77.1
0.3
Turnover margin
1.3
1.6
Sacks / game
2.7
5.2
TFL / game
5.3
10.8
Havoc / game
12.4
52.4 / 47.6
Pass / Rush split
48.6 / 51.4
2026 · Situational matchup
When Florida Atlantic has the ball
Florida Atlantic's early-down offense ranks 68th of 138. Tulsa's early-down defense ranks 47th of 138.
Florida Atlantic's passing-down offense ranks 9th of 138. Tulsa's passing-down defense ranks 65th of 138.
Florida Atlantic's third-down offense ranks 3rd of 138. Tulsa's third-down defense ranks 112th of 138.
Florida Atlantic's red-zone offense ranks 55th of 138. Tulsa's red-zone defense ranks 50th of 138.
When Tulsa has the ball
Tulsa's early-down offense ranks 76th of 138. Florida Atlantic's early-down defense ranks 134th of 138.
Tulsa's passing-down offense ranks 55th of 138. Florida Atlantic's passing-down defense ranks 125th of 138.
Tulsa's third-down offense ranks 29th of 138. Florida Atlantic's third-down defense ranks 102nd of 138.
Tulsa's red-zone offense ranks 15th of 138. Florida Atlantic's red-zone defense ranks 107th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.249 last 3 vs 0.189 season (+0.060)
▼Defense form0.388 last 3 vs 0.179 season (+0.208)
▲Offense form0.300 last 3 vs 0.099 season (+0.201)
▲Defense form-0.218 last 3 vs -0.105 season (-0.113)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCaden Veltkamp — 2746 yd, 27 TD
RushingLeonard Farrow — 479 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingEaston Messer — 983 yd, 12 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBaylor Hayes — 1681 yd, 14 TD
RushingDamari Alston — 481 yd, 7 TD
ReceivingOran Singleton Jr. — 712 yd, 7 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Florida Atlantic offense
68thof 1380.014401 plays
vs
Tulsa defense · allowed
47thof 138-0.053Florida Atlantic defense · allowed
134thof 1380.168vs
Tulsa offense
76thof 138-0.006404 plays
Passing downs
Florida Atlantic offense
9thof 1380.313218 plays
vs
Tulsa defense · allowed
65thof 138-0.024236 plays
Florida Atlantic defense · allowed
125thof 1380.209198 plays
vs
Tulsa offense
55thof 1380.062197 plays
Third down
Florida Atlantic offense
3rdof 1380.519145 plays
vs
Tulsa defense · allowed
112thof 1380.165127 plays
Florida Atlantic defense · allowed
102ndof 1380.138122 plays
vs
Tulsa offense
29thof 1380.222120 plays
Red zone
Florida Atlantic offense
55thof 1380.040111 plays
vs
Tulsa defense · allowed
50thof 138-0.09986 plays
Florida Atlantic defense · allowed
107thof 1380.12776 plays
vs
Tulsa offense
15thof 1380.244100 plays
Field advancement
Florida Atlantic offense
18thof 13856.4%vs
Tulsa defense · allowed
71stof 13843.9%Florida Atlantic defense · allowed
126thof 13853.4%vs
Tulsa offense
53rdof 13849.8%Away
Home
Florida Atlantic Offense vs Tulsa DefenseFlorida Atlantic · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.32#15
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#540.07
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.156#18
534 plays
EPA/Play
#56-0.037
allowed · 571 plays
0.251#9
286 plays
EPA/Pass
#910.043
allowed · 213 plays
0.047#55
248 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#34-0.084
allowed · 358 plays
50.9%#23
534 plays
Success Rate
#3542.9%
allowed · 571 plays
51.7%#15
Pass Success Rate
#7443.0%
allowed
50.0%#42
Rush Success Rate
#3244.1%
allowed
56.4%#18
Available Yards %
#7143.9%
allowed
69.1#38
Net Field Position
#4372.2
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.014#68
401 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#47-0.053
allowed
6.3#19
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#647.1
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Florida Atlantic Defense vs Tulsa OffenseTulsa · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.35#127
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#480.12
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.179#134
allowed · 474 plays
EPA/Play
#300.104
536 plays
0.044#92
allowed · 198 plays
EPA/Pass
#540.049
269 plays
0.276#137
allowed · 276 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#140.160
267 plays
47.5%#98
allowed · 474 plays
Success Rate
#4747.6%
536 plays
44.2%#89
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#8543.1%
49.6%#102
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#2752.1%
53.4%#126
allowed
Available Yards %
#5349.8%
72.8#33
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#1968.1
0.168#134
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#76-0.006
404 plays
6.7#103
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#897.2
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.163
539 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.105
534 plays
0.186
503 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.035
564 plays
0.040
111 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.244
100 plays
0.127
76 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.099
86 plays
0.519
145 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.222
120 plays
0.138
122 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.165
127 plays