Fourth Down Data
Duke4-2 · ACC@Virginia4-3 · ACC
Share →
Fri, Oct 23, 7:00 PM ET· David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium· Virginia -1.5 · O/U 47.5
Rest 6d / 6dTravel 143 mi / 0 miForecast: 50°F · wind 5 mph · Clear
Market context
Virginia -1.5 · O/U 47.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Duke as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 10-15 ATS (25 games) · 14-11 O/U (25 games)
Virginia as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-3-1 ATS (7 games) · 3-4 O/U (7 games)
2026 as home favorite: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 1-4-1 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 14-12 ATS (26 games) · 9-16-1 O/U (26 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalVirginia · 5 of 9
442.7
Yards / game
362.0
2.63
Points / drive
2.47
3.8
TDs / game
3.9
46.5
3rd-down %
33.0
59.3
RZ TD %
70.4
0.3
Turnover margin
0.7
2.2
Sacks / game
2.0
5.2
TFL / game
5.3
11.5
Havoc / game
13.1
45.0 / 55.0
Pass / Rush split
39.9 / 60.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When Duke has the ball
Duke's early-down offense ranks 44th of 138. Virginia's early-down defense ranks 68th of 138.
Duke's passing-down offense ranks 18th of 138. Virginia's passing-down defense ranks 70th of 138.
Duke's third-down offense ranks 18th of 138. Virginia's third-down defense ranks 80th of 138.
Duke's red-zone offense ranks 88th of 138. Virginia's red-zone defense ranks 97th of 138.
When Virginia has the ball
Virginia's early-down offense ranks 54th of 138. Duke's early-down defense ranks 80th of 138.
Virginia's passing-down offense ranks 113th of 138. Duke's passing-down defense ranks 3rd of 138.
Virginia's third-down offense ranks 103rd of 138. Duke's third-down defense ranks 10th of 138.
Virginia's red-zone offense ranks 36th of 138. Duke's red-zone defense ranks 56th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.135 last 3 vs 0.120 season)
▼Defense form0.020 last 3 vs -0.096 season (+0.116)
▼Offense form-0.083 last 3 vs 0.046 season (-0.129)
▼Defense form0.108 last 3 vs -0.027 season (+0.135)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingWalker Eget — 1229 yd, 8 TD
RushingNate Sheppard — 820 yd, 8 TD
ReceivingNate Sheppard — 259 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBeau Pribula — 1211 yd, 13 TD
RushingJekail Middlebrook — 396 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingDa’Shawn Martin — 225 yd, 5 TD