Tue, Oct 27, 7:00 PM ET· Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium· Delaware -2.5 · O/U 59.5
Rest 7d / 13dTravel 609 mi / 0 miForecast: 63°F · wind 3 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Delaware -2.5 · O/U 59.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Delaware as road favorite
2026 overall: 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 3-4 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 0-3 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Western Kentucky as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 3-4 O/U (7 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): none in this role
Since 2020: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalDelaware · 8 of 9
381.7
Yards / game
353.6
2.29
Points / drive
1.58
3.6
TDs / game
2.6
33.0
3rd-down %
40.7
65.4
RZ TD %
57.9
0.3
Turnover margin
-0.4
2.6
Sacks / game
1.3
5.4
TFL / game
4.6
14.1
Havoc / game
11.1
51.8 / 48.2
Pass / Rush split
49.4 / 50.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When Delaware has the ball
Delaware's early-down offense ranks 90th of 138. Western Kentucky's early-down defense ranks 99th of 138.
Delaware's passing-down offense ranks 106th of 138. Western Kentucky's passing-down defense ranks 80th of 138.
Delaware's third-down offense ranks 98th of 138. Western Kentucky's third-down defense ranks 13th of 138.
Delaware's red-zone offense ranks 82nd of 138. Western Kentucky's red-zone defense ranks 116th of 138.
When Western Kentucky has the ball
Western Kentucky's early-down offense ranks 109th of 138. Delaware's early-down defense ranks 105th of 138.
Western Kentucky's passing-down offense ranks 78th of 138. Delaware's passing-down defense ranks 49th of 138.
Western Kentucky's third-down offense ranks 78th of 138. Delaware's third-down defense ranks 67th of 138.
Western Kentucky's red-zone offense ranks 44th of 138. Delaware's red-zone defense ranks 99th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.074 last 3 vs -0.054 season)
▼Defense form0.093 last 3 vs 0.021 season (+0.071)
Offense formabout the same(-0.085 last 3 vs -0.077 season)
▲Defense form-0.197 last 3 vs -0.035 season (-0.162)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingNick Minicucci — 1063 yd, 10 TD
RushingJo Silver — 331 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingSean Wilson — 408 yd, 3 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingRodney Tisdale Jr. — 857 yd, 4 TD
RushingAjay Allen — 346 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingJonathan Stafford Jr. — 369 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Delaware offense
90thof 138-0.027288 plays
vs
Western Kentucky defense · allowed
99thof 1380.034Delaware defense · allowed
105thof 1380.045vs
Western Kentucky offense
109thof 138-0.077288 plays
Passing downs
Delaware offense
106thof 138-0.094166 plays
vs
Western Kentucky defense · allowed
80thof 1380.007153 plays
Delaware defense · allowed
49thof 138-0.064172 plays
vs
Western Kentucky offense
78thof 1380.005192 plays
Third down
Delaware offense
98thof 138-0.06491 plays
vs
Western Kentucky defense · allowed
13thof 138-0.23889 plays
Delaware defense · allowed
67thof 1380.00992 plays
vs
Western Kentucky offense
78thof 1380.026120 plays
Red zone
Delaware offense
82ndof 138-0.03462 plays
vs
Western Kentucky defense · allowed
116thof 1380.15851 plays · small sample
Delaware defense · allowed
99thof 1380.07259 plays · small sample
vs
Western Kentucky offense
44thof 1380.07645 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Delaware offense
104thof 13843.4%vs
Western Kentucky defense · allowed
79thof 13844.8%Delaware defense · allowed
86thof 13845.4%vs
Western Kentucky offense
125thof 13838.4%Away
Home
Delaware Offense vs Western Kentucky DefenseWestern Kentucky · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.07#87
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#90-0.06
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.014#84
373 plays
EPA/Play
#40-0.064
allowed · 320 plays
0.060#57
196 plays
EPA/Pass
#11-0.246
allowed · 159 plays
-0.095#120
177 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1200.116
allowed · 161 plays
44.0%#108
373 plays
Success Rate
#4042.8%
allowed · 320 plays
46.4%#57
Pass Success Rate
#1036.8%
allowed
41.2%#132
Rush Success Rate
#10548.9%
allowed
43.4%#104
Available Yards %
#7944.8%
allowed
69.9#58
Net Field Position
#10569.6
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.027#90
288 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#990.034
allowed
8.2#137
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#757.1
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Delaware Defense vs Western Kentucky OffenseDelaware · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.09#95
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#118-0.25
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.031#91
allowed · 371 plays
EPA/Play
#117-0.095
392 plays
0.138#114
allowed · 185 plays
EPA/Pass
#111-0.121
198 plays
-0.076#41
allowed · 186 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#111-0.070
194 plays
46.1%#80
allowed · 371 plays
Success Rate
#12442.6%
392 plays
43.9%#83
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#11938.9%
46.6%#65
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#9546.4%
45.4%#86
allowed
Available Yards %
#12538.4%
71.4#70
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#10472.3
0.045#105
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#109-0.077
288 plays
7.8#22
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#877.2
2026 · Situational EPAWestern Kentucky · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.019
379 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.082
394 plays
0.035
380 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.057
327 plays
-0.034
62 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.076
45 plays · small sample
0.072
59 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.158
51 plays · small sample
-0.064
91 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.026
120 plays
0.009
92 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.238
89 plays