Fourth Down Data
Kennesaw State1-6 · Conference USA@Middle Tennessee4-3 · Conference USA
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Wed, Oct 28, 7:00 PM ET· Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium· Middle Tennessee -3.5 · O/U 50.5
Rest 6d / 8dTravel 162 mi / 0 miForecast: 62°F · wind 5 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Middle Tennessee -3.5 · O/U 50.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Kennesaw State as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 1-6 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road underdog: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 6-7-1 ATS (14 games) · 5-9 O/U (14 games)
Middle Tennessee as home favorite
2026 overall: 5-2 ATS (7 games) · 3-4 O/U (7 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 7-11-1 ATS (19 games) · 9-10 O/U (19 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalEven · 4-4-1
359.4
Yards / game
339.6
1.79
Points / drive
2.16
2.4
TDs / game
2.4
39.8
3rd-down %
25.6
58.3
RZ TD %
62.5
0.0
Turnover margin
0.7
1.0
Sacks / game
1.1
3.6
TFL / game
2.9
9.0
Havoc / game
8.0
52.1 / 47.9
Pass / Rush split
52.9 / 47.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When Kennesaw State has the ball
Kennesaw State's early-down offense ranks 81st of 138. Middle Tennessee's early-down defense ranks 85th of 138.
Kennesaw State's passing-down offense ranks 97th of 138. Middle Tennessee's passing-down defense ranks 97th of 138.
Kennesaw State's third-down offense ranks 87th of 138. Middle Tennessee's third-down defense ranks 72nd of 138.
Kennesaw State's red-zone offense ranks 68th of 138. Middle Tennessee's red-zone defense ranks 75th of 138.
When Middle Tennessee has the ball
Middle Tennessee's early-down offense ranks 25th of 138. Kennesaw State's early-down defense ranks 109th of 138.
Middle Tennessee's passing-down offense ranks 100th of 138. Kennesaw State's passing-down defense ranks 105th of 138.
Middle Tennessee's third-down offense ranks 137th of 138. Kennesaw State's third-down defense ranks 93rd of 138.
Middle Tennessee's red-zone offense ranks 79th of 138. Kennesaw State's red-zone defense ranks 115th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.104 last 3 vs -0.096 season)
▼Defense form0.049 last 3 vs -0.017 season (+0.066)
▼Offense form-0.168 last 3 vs -0.033 season (-0.135)
Defense formabout the same(0.044 last 3 vs 0.012 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingRickie Collins — 1426 yd, 4 TD
RushingRickie Collins — 295 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingBrayden Munroe — 352 yd, 0 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingRoman Gagliano — 1404 yd, 12 TD
RushingAntonio Martin Jr. — 480 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingCam'ron Lacy — 437 yd, 4 TD